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Bracketology - Let's Do This
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<blockquote data-quote="lv20gt" data-source="post: 787244" data-attributes="member: 2299"><p>I've said for a while that the committee was likely to seed us higher than projections simply due to the nature of how they choose seeds vs the bracketology people. Updating every day is great for producing content and probably fairly accurate overall, but it will be off sometimes. I think that is especially true for us having lost 2 such games. One game can be easier to wave away, such as UVA losing to San Francisco. </p><p></p><p>Our NET is 33 and beyond that most of the other rankings that I believe the committee looks at are all pretty much in agreement with a spread of just 30 to 37 for KPI, SOR, BPI, Pomeroy, and Sagarin. By that alone we should probably be in the 8-9 range which seems to be a common prediction looking at a couple of places. Now there are some notable exceptions (UNC and Colgate) but if I'm trying to be impartial most of the teams ahead of us also have similarly strong or stronger arguments. Now we are hot, going by Sagarin recent we are 13th compared to our mean of 33, and the committee might be willing to give us the benefit of the doubt for the early 2 games (keep in mind some other similarly rated teams also have circumstances to be considered) but I will be surprised if we get above a 7 seed.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="lv20gt, post: 787244, member: 2299"] I've said for a while that the committee was likely to seed us higher than projections simply due to the nature of how they choose seeds vs the bracketology people. Updating every day is great for producing content and probably fairly accurate overall, but it will be off sometimes. I think that is especially true for us having lost 2 such games. One game can be easier to wave away, such as UVA losing to San Francisco. Our NET is 33 and beyond that most of the other rankings that I believe the committee looks at are all pretty much in agreement with a spread of just 30 to 37 for KPI, SOR, BPI, Pomeroy, and Sagarin. By that alone we should probably be in the 8-9 range which seems to be a common prediction looking at a couple of places. Now there are some notable exceptions (UNC and Colgate) but if I'm trying to be impartial most of the teams ahead of us also have similarly strong or stronger arguments. Now we are hot, going by Sagarin recent we are 13th compared to our mean of 33, and the committee might be willing to give us the benefit of the doubt for the early 2 games (keep in mind some other similarly rated teams also have circumstances to be considered) but I will be surprised if we get above a 7 seed. [/QUOTE]
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