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<blockquote data-quote="MtnWasp" data-source="post: 1005454" data-attributes="member: 4110"><p>I don't know what the actual formula is used for NCAAT selection, but I bet it would be possible to determine the number of games that it would take to negate any influence (bias) of pre-season power rankings. I bet it would take more than the ten pre-conference games that are played for teams to find their natural position in the power ratings based on wins and losses. Once teams get into conference play, their strong pre-season power ratings will guarantee and enhanced strength of schedule which perpetuates the bias. </p><p></p><p>What that means is that conferences like the SEC and BIG that dominate the preseason rankings (how are they determined?) are guaranteed by mathematical certainty built into the algorithm that they will be advantaged in terms of the number of NCAAT at large bids!</p><p></p><p>Bottom line: the pre-season power ratings, which are determined by non-objective means, are input into a quantitative model to select which teams play in the money earning games at the end of the season. The number of pre-season games is inadequate to overcome the initial biases so that advantages are rendered to members of conferences with the most teams highly rated in the pre-season power ratings.</p><p></p><p>That is what the data that Singer provided of NCAAT conference performance over the last five years.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="MtnWasp, post: 1005454, member: 4110"] I don't know what the actual formula is used for NCAAT selection, but I bet it would be possible to determine the number of games that it would take to negate any influence (bias) of pre-season power rankings. I bet it would take more than the ten pre-conference games that are played for teams to find their natural position in the power ratings based on wins and losses. Once teams get into conference play, their strong pre-season power ratings will guarantee and enhanced strength of schedule which perpetuates the bias. What that means is that conferences like the SEC and BIG that dominate the preseason rankings (how are they determined?) are guaranteed by mathematical certainty built into the algorithm that they will be advantaged in terms of the number of NCAAT at large bids! Bottom line: the pre-season power ratings, which are determined by non-objective means, are input into a quantitative model to select which teams play in the money earning games at the end of the season. The number of pre-season games is inadequate to overcome the initial biases so that advantages are rendered to members of conferences with the most teams highly rated in the pre-season power ratings. That is what the data that Singer provided of NCAAT conference performance over the last five years. [/QUOTE]
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