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<blockquote data-quote="MtnWasp" data-source="post: 1005081" data-attributes="member: 4110"><p>Thanks for compiling the number Stinger78. I take a lot away from the numbers.</p><p></p><p>During conference play conference teams "beat each other up." The debate is always whether it is parity or mediocrity. Pessimists and critics always interpret parity as mediocrity. ACC coaches always talk about depth and parity while the fans and media jump on the mediocrity bandwagon. </p><p></p><p>The problem with any forecasting of complex systems via statistical algorithm, and this true whether we are talking NCAAT seeding, climate, economics or epidemiology, is their dependence of pre-existing conditions. Those are the initial inputs and how they are weighted. This has a large impact on the final forecasts and is a source of inaccuracy. </p><p></p><p>There is no good way to do it. But one thing is for sure, the present NCAAT selection and seeding algorithm has been gamed by the BIG, Big12 and the SEC over the last five years. They have out-paced the other Power conferences in bids attained and have performed decidedly worse over a 5 year period. I would be shocked if it did not reach statistical significance.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="MtnWasp, post: 1005081, member: 4110"] Thanks for compiling the number Stinger78. I take a lot away from the numbers. During conference play conference teams "beat each other up." The debate is always whether it is parity or mediocrity. Pessimists and critics always interpret parity as mediocrity. ACC coaches always talk about depth and parity while the fans and media jump on the mediocrity bandwagon. The problem with any forecasting of complex systems via statistical algorithm, and this true whether we are talking NCAAT seeding, climate, economics or epidemiology, is their dependence of pre-existing conditions. Those are the initial inputs and how they are weighted. This has a large impact on the final forecasts and is a source of inaccuracy. There is no good way to do it. But one thing is for sure, the present NCAAT selection and seeding algorithm has been gamed by the BIG, Big12 and the SEC over the last five years. They have out-paced the other Power conferences in bids attained and have performed decidedly worse over a 5 year period. I would be shocked if it did not reach statistical significance. [/QUOTE]
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