Blue Chip Ratio

[takethepoints]

Sorry, that definition is silly, IMPO, though I get your point that this is how it is defined by rivals.

No one knows how a HS player will pan out in college, much less the NFL draft, which is as much about team needs in a specific year and the players around you in that draft.

What you can know is what you observe about that player relative to the others on the HS playing field with him. Is he a “man among boys?” If so, he will likely do well in college ball. That’s about it really.

Yessss. My favorite on this:

Yeah, that's it. It is true that some high school players can be separated out as pretty good. It is not true that a) this translates into exceptional performance at the next level, b) that all exceptional players are identified in their senior year in high school, or c) that comparisons based on such criteria tell us what we would like to know. What is true is that a team that gets a good share of 5 and 4 star players has a better chance of hitting the jackpot. If that is, the coaches involved know what they are doing (see Miami as the prime negative example).