FredJacket
Helluva Engineer
- Messages
- 6,290
- Location
- Fredericksburg, Virginia
The baseball team has played 24 games of 56 total scheduled. Here is a summary:
13-11 Overall record
10-5 OOC record
3-6 ACC record
Just looking at those numbers, you would be inclined to say "same ol' same ol'" and assume a linear projection where we finish the season around .500 overall and below .500 in the ACC. That would equate to 'no improvement' over 2017. Could happen. But I do not think it will.
As things have played out...looking at who we've played, how we've played, and looking ahead on the schedule... I do expect the final 32 games will have higher winning percentages overall, OOC, and ACC.
The only opponent remaining on the 11 game OOC schedule with an RPI better than 80 is UGA at #8 (as I vomit in my mouth). We do play them 3 times. I am eager to beat them 3 times!! The rest of the OOC includes teams we simply should beat.... 5 against teams with RPI's south of 150.
The ACC thing is what's more important and more confounding as the Jackets find themselves in an early 3-6 hole. It is not going to be easy... but it appears it will be "easier" (slightly?). 4 of the final 7 ACC series are at home against MIA, FSU, WF, DUKE. The road series are against PITT, UNC, UVA. Many/most of those series are winnable. But the margin of error is pretty thin with this team...given the quality of the competition on that list.
I'm done making specific predictions or going game by game / series by series to guess on the final records. It's baseball. I do expect us to break through / follow through and surprise with perhaps a sweep and/or a series win over a higher ranked opponent. I will be very surprised (barring any more significant injuries) if the team doesn't show an uptick on results in the final 32 games.
Last season, FSU finished ACC play at .500... won the ACC tournament and went to Omaha. Not saying we're on a path to Omaha (or even ACC championship)... but teams can/do improve (significantly) within a season. Let's see it play out. Frankly... it is gut-check time with this group. They have plenty of time to make something positive out of this season.
13-11 Overall record
10-5 OOC record
3-6 ACC record
Just looking at those numbers, you would be inclined to say "same ol' same ol'" and assume a linear projection where we finish the season around .500 overall and below .500 in the ACC. That would equate to 'no improvement' over 2017. Could happen. But I do not think it will.
As things have played out...looking at who we've played, how we've played, and looking ahead on the schedule... I do expect the final 32 games will have higher winning percentages overall, OOC, and ACC.
The only opponent remaining on the 11 game OOC schedule with an RPI better than 80 is UGA at #8 (as I vomit in my mouth). We do play them 3 times. I am eager to beat them 3 times!! The rest of the OOC includes teams we simply should beat.... 5 against teams with RPI's south of 150.
The ACC thing is what's more important and more confounding as the Jackets find themselves in an early 3-6 hole. It is not going to be easy... but it appears it will be "easier" (slightly?). 4 of the final 7 ACC series are at home against MIA, FSU, WF, DUKE. The road series are against PITT, UNC, UVA. Many/most of those series are winnable. But the margin of error is pretty thin with this team...given the quality of the competition on that list.
I'm done making specific predictions or going game by game / series by series to guess on the final records. It's baseball. I do expect us to break through / follow through and surprise with perhaps a sweep and/or a series win over a higher ranked opponent. I will be very surprised (barring any more significant injuries) if the team doesn't show an uptick on results in the final 32 games.
Last season, FSU finished ACC play at .500... won the ACC tournament and went to Omaha. Not saying we're on a path to Omaha (or even ACC championship)... but teams can/do improve (significantly) within a season. Let's see it play out. Frankly... it is gut-check time with this group. They have plenty of time to make something positive out of this season.
