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Along with my player metrics I also look at the experience each team uses in ACC games.
Very simple calculation. % min by class *4 for Sr, 3 for Jr, 2 for So, 1 for Fr.
Here were the most experienced teams in ACC games this year
Clemson 3.28 - 9-9 league leading 66.1% of ACC min from Sr.
FSU 3.02 - 13-5 - 64.3% of min from Jr and Sr incl 49.6% from SR - little higher than typical for them.
Miami 3.01 - 5-13 - 62.1% of min from Jr and Sr with the 3 Sr in their short rotation providing 46.7% min.
L'ville 2.96 - 10-8 - nice min of So-Jr-Sr, basically got 0 min from FR. Highest Jr&SR rate of 68.1%
VT 2.90 - 12-6 - Another team that has a low FR usage - 7.8% of min. 40.8% from Sr.
UNC 2.81 - 16-2 Despite having White and Little they only got 25.6% min from FR and 47.5% from Sr.
Here were the least experienced
Duke 1.67 - 14-4 - You can win with FR - if they include the Top 2 players in their class, 3 of the Top 10
ND 1.99 - 3-15 - This team was decimated by injuries in its upper classes. Like Duke got nothing from Sr.
Wake 2.06 - 4-14 Tied for the 3rd highest Fr rate with ND at 41.5%. 2nd in FR&SO usage at 67.1%
GT 2.16 - 6-12 First in usage of FR&SO at 68.2%. also the 5th lowest Sr usage rate of 13.9%
Pitt 2.22 - 3-15 Highest use of FR in league at 43.1%. Median team in Conf with Sr usage of 25.1%
The others
Syracuse - 2.44, 10-8 very So and Jr dominated - 79.9% of min
UVA - 2.59, 16-2 the median experience team - dominated by Jr - 56% of min - highest in league, 79.2% Jr and So.
BC - 2.62, 5-13 - 2nd most Jr oriented team with 48.7% of min coming from them
NCST - 2.74 , 9-9 Nice mix of Sr, Jr and SO, only 7.8% of min came from FR
Duke shows you can win with FR - assuming you get multiple high level FR. They and KY are probably the only 2 that can do that consistently. Otherwise 6 of the 7 most experienced teams had .500 or better records and 8 of the top 10.
The 5 least experienced teams had 4 teams go a combined 16-56 and then Duke at 14-4.
Top and bottom 5 in usage for Each Class
Sr
Clemson 66.1%, FSU 49.6%, UNC 47.5%, Miami 47.5%, VT 46.40.8%
ND 0%, Duke 0%, UVA 7.9%, Syracuse 10.1%, GT 13.9%
Jr
UVA 56.0%, BC 48,7%, ND 40.6%, L'ville 39.8%, Syracuse 34.3%
Clemson 0%, UNC 11.4%, FSU 14.7%, Pitt 15.2%, Miami 15.5%
So
Syracuse 45.7%, NCST 41.0%, GT 38.7%, VT 35.6%, L'ville 31.9%
Duke 10.3%, BC 15.4%, UNC 15.5%, Pitt 16.6%, ND 17.8%
FR
Duke 61.2%, Pitt 43.1%, ND 41.5%, Wake 41.5%, GT 29.5%
L'ville 0%, Clemson 4.6%, NCST 6.4%, VT 7.8%, Miami 8.2%
If you are looking for a team to take the biggest step back - pick Clemson. Loses 4 starters and their top back up big man, All 5 were 5th yr SR who transferred into Clemson.
As far as teams that could see a big rise, Watch out for L'ville that returns alot of its production and has a really good FR class coming in.
If GT is going to rise it should really start next year when all that FR and SO production becomes So and Jr and their Sr losses are not very high.
GT overall usage rates were
Sr 13.9% - 11th
Jr 18.0% - 9th
So 38.7% - 3rd
Fr 29.5% - 5th
Very simple calculation. % min by class *4 for Sr, 3 for Jr, 2 for So, 1 for Fr.
Here were the most experienced teams in ACC games this year
Clemson 3.28 - 9-9 league leading 66.1% of ACC min from Sr.
FSU 3.02 - 13-5 - 64.3% of min from Jr and Sr incl 49.6% from SR - little higher than typical for them.
Miami 3.01 - 5-13 - 62.1% of min from Jr and Sr with the 3 Sr in their short rotation providing 46.7% min.
L'ville 2.96 - 10-8 - nice min of So-Jr-Sr, basically got 0 min from FR. Highest Jr&SR rate of 68.1%
VT 2.90 - 12-6 - Another team that has a low FR usage - 7.8% of min. 40.8% from Sr.
UNC 2.81 - 16-2 Despite having White and Little they only got 25.6% min from FR and 47.5% from Sr.
Here were the least experienced
Duke 1.67 - 14-4 - You can win with FR - if they include the Top 2 players in their class, 3 of the Top 10
ND 1.99 - 3-15 - This team was decimated by injuries in its upper classes. Like Duke got nothing from Sr.
Wake 2.06 - 4-14 Tied for the 3rd highest Fr rate with ND at 41.5%. 2nd in FR&SO usage at 67.1%
GT 2.16 - 6-12 First in usage of FR&SO at 68.2%. also the 5th lowest Sr usage rate of 13.9%
Pitt 2.22 - 3-15 Highest use of FR in league at 43.1%. Median team in Conf with Sr usage of 25.1%
The others
Syracuse - 2.44, 10-8 very So and Jr dominated - 79.9% of min
UVA - 2.59, 16-2 the median experience team - dominated by Jr - 56% of min - highest in league, 79.2% Jr and So.
BC - 2.62, 5-13 - 2nd most Jr oriented team with 48.7% of min coming from them
NCST - 2.74 , 9-9 Nice mix of Sr, Jr and SO, only 7.8% of min came from FR
Duke shows you can win with FR - assuming you get multiple high level FR. They and KY are probably the only 2 that can do that consistently. Otherwise 6 of the 7 most experienced teams had .500 or better records and 8 of the top 10.
The 5 least experienced teams had 4 teams go a combined 16-56 and then Duke at 14-4.
Top and bottom 5 in usage for Each Class
Sr
Clemson 66.1%, FSU 49.6%, UNC 47.5%, Miami 47.5%, VT 46.40.8%
ND 0%, Duke 0%, UVA 7.9%, Syracuse 10.1%, GT 13.9%
Jr
UVA 56.0%, BC 48,7%, ND 40.6%, L'ville 39.8%, Syracuse 34.3%
Clemson 0%, UNC 11.4%, FSU 14.7%, Pitt 15.2%, Miami 15.5%
So
Syracuse 45.7%, NCST 41.0%, GT 38.7%, VT 35.6%, L'ville 31.9%
Duke 10.3%, BC 15.4%, UNC 15.5%, Pitt 16.6%, ND 17.8%
FR
Duke 61.2%, Pitt 43.1%, ND 41.5%, Wake 41.5%, GT 29.5%
L'ville 0%, Clemson 4.6%, NCST 6.4%, VT 7.8%, Miami 8.2%
If you are looking for a team to take the biggest step back - pick Clemson. Loses 4 starters and their top back up big man, All 5 were 5th yr SR who transferred into Clemson.
As far as teams that could see a big rise, Watch out for L'ville that returns alot of its production and has a really good FR class coming in.
If GT is going to rise it should really start next year when all that FR and SO production becomes So and Jr and their Sr losses are not very high.
GT overall usage rates were
Sr 13.9% - 11th
Jr 18.0% - 9th
So 38.7% - 3rd
Fr 29.5% - 5th