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ACC Discussion 2020-21
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<blockquote data-quote="MWBATL" data-source="post: 717137" data-attributes="member: 944"><p>It is going to be an interesting Fall...and (apparently) beyond.</p><p></p><p>It isn't clear this covid thing is going to be as disastrous as the media would like us all to believe. Or it might be. Very hard to tell. But the national stats are frightening because they are so skewed by the extreme outbreaks in the northeast (NYC metro area primarily). Deaths per 100,000 people remain below 15 in most of the country whereas in the northeast they are up well over 100. The disparity is...huge. Georgia (14), Ohio (12), Virgina (10) Florida (8), California (7), Wisconsin (7) and Texas (4) all are well below not just the national average (over 25, with the northeastern states averaging over 100) but the European average as well (roughly 50). Clearly some of this is due to mitigation efforts. A lot (my guess here) also has to do with level of urbanization. I am not sure if any of that data changes anything about policies in the Fall. Children under 16 have also been shown to be far less infectious (much lower R0 in todays lingo) than adults, based on studies out of Europe and Australia. It is NOT clear if this applies to college aged kids as well..I have seen nothing one way or the other on that group.</p><p></p><p>I am guessing that most elementary schools will be back in session this Fall, based on the latest scientific data. There is a certain pressure that can occur when society is moving forward with re-opening.</p><p></p><p>But, all of that is merely my conjecture and guesswork, and I could be totally wrong.</p><p></p><p>Interesting times, for sure....</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="MWBATL, post: 717137, member: 944"] It is going to be an interesting Fall...and (apparently) beyond. It isn't clear this covid thing is going to be as disastrous as the media would like us all to believe. Or it might be. Very hard to tell. But the national stats are frightening because they are so skewed by the extreme outbreaks in the northeast (NYC metro area primarily). Deaths per 100,000 people remain below 15 in most of the country whereas in the northeast they are up well over 100. The disparity is...huge. Georgia (14), Ohio (12), Virgina (10) Florida (8), California (7), Wisconsin (7) and Texas (4) all are well below not just the national average (over 25, with the northeastern states averaging over 100) but the European average as well (roughly 50). Clearly some of this is due to mitigation efforts. A lot (my guess here) also has to do with level of urbanization. I am not sure if any of that data changes anything about policies in the Fall. Children under 16 have also been shown to be far less infectious (much lower R0 in todays lingo) than adults, based on studies out of Europe and Australia. It is NOT clear if this applies to college aged kids as well..I have seen nothing one way or the other on that group. I am guessing that most elementary schools will be back in session this Fall, based on the latest scientific data. There is a certain pressure that can occur when society is moving forward with re-opening. But, all of that is merely my conjecture and guesswork, and I could be totally wrong. Interesting times, for sure.... [/QUOTE]
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