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ACC Coaches Anonymously Talk about Conference Foes
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<blockquote data-quote="slugboy" data-source="post: 608169" data-attributes="member: 282"><p>(This first paragraph is where I get fixated on a minor thing) He did on offense. Defense had slipped the year before, and declined that year too. There was lots of defensive talent on that team. It’s tempting to say “we had a great defense, we had Derrick Morgan”, but with the talent we had on that side of the ball, we should have been better. The jump in offensive efficiency covered up the defensive decline for a while. </p><p></p><p>(Starting at second paragraph is where I pick up on the main point). Collins wasn’t gifted with the recruiting classes that CPJ was. However, through a combination of factors, defense and special teams have underperformed their talent levels for the last 10 years. Most of the forecasting for us assumes that our defense and special teams will operate at the same level or worse than last year. It’s possible that they both improve significantly; possibly as much as the offense did in 2008 (admittedly, that’s a long shot). Now, defensive and special teams improvements may not be enough to make up for the production we’ve lost, but maybe it gets us to 6 wins.</p><p></p><p>The rules have favored offense for a while. It’ll be interesting to see what happens. Last year had some bad luck (USF), but good luck too (Miami, UVA). </p><p></p><p>2020 is a gauntlet, but I think we’ll be a better team by then. We could improve a good bit in the next two years and not see it all reflected in the win/loss record </p><p></p><p>So, I see a lot of reasons we could be underestimated. But we did, relative to our opponents, lose a ton of offensive and defensive production off a middling team, and can understand why analysts think we’ll have a poor year. I think the truth is somewhere between the forecasts of three wins and the average of the last few years. </p><p></p><p>If we go bowling, it’s a testament to the players and the staff </p><p></p><p></p><p>Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="slugboy, post: 608169, member: 282"] (This first paragraph is where I get fixated on a minor thing) He did on offense. Defense had slipped the year before, and declined that year too. There was lots of defensive talent on that team. It’s tempting to say “we had a great defense, we had Derrick Morgan”, but with the talent we had on that side of the ball, we should have been better. The jump in offensive efficiency covered up the defensive decline for a while. (Starting at second paragraph is where I pick up on the main point). Collins wasn’t gifted with the recruiting classes that CPJ was. However, through a combination of factors, defense and special teams have underperformed their talent levels for the last 10 years. Most of the forecasting for us assumes that our defense and special teams will operate at the same level or worse than last year. It’s possible that they both improve significantly; possibly as much as the offense did in 2008 (admittedly, that’s a long shot). Now, defensive and special teams improvements may not be enough to make up for the production we’ve lost, but maybe it gets us to 6 wins. The rules have favored offense for a while. It’ll be interesting to see what happens. Last year had some bad luck (USF), but good luck too (Miami, UVA). 2020 is a gauntlet, but I think we’ll be a better team by then. We could improve a good bit in the next two years and not see it all reflected in the win/loss record So, I see a lot of reasons we could be underestimated. But we did, relative to our opponents, lose a ton of offensive and defensive production off a middling team, and can understand why analysts think we’ll have a poor year. I think the truth is somewhere between the forecasts of three wins and the average of the last few years. If we go bowling, it’s a testament to the players and the staff Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk [/QUOTE]
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