ACC Baseball Tournament Predictions

Who Will Win the 2017 ACC Baseball Tournament

  • Louisville

    Votes: 9 50.0%

  • UNC

    Votes: 3 16.7%

  • Wake Forest

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • UVA

    Votes: 4 22.2%

  • Clemson

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Miami

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • NC State

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • FSU

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Duke

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Ga Tech

    Votes: 2 11.1%
  • Total voters
    18
  • Poll closed .
FredJacket

FredJacket

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Fredericksburg, Virginia
Polls are limited to 10 choices. I decide to leave off the 11/12 seeds. Feel free to "write them in" a posted response should you be convinced BC or ND will win.

Let's talk Pool Winners too.. tournament "final four". What do you think there.

Pool A: LOU, FSU, ND
Pool B: UNC, NCST, BC
Pool C: WF, MIA, GT
Pool D: UVA, CLEM, DUKE

I'll go:
A: Head = LOU; Heart = FSU
B: Head = UNC; Heart = NCST
C: Head = MIA; Heart = GT
D: Head = UVA; Heart = UVA
 
THWG

THWG

Helluva Engineer
Messages
4,015
FredJacket said:
Polls are limited to 10 choices. I decide to leave off the 11/12 seeds. Feel free to "write them in" a posted response should you be convinced BC or ND will win.

Let's talk Pool Winners too.. tournament "final four". What do you think there.

Pool A: LOU, FSU, ND
Pool B: UNC, NCST, BC
Pool C: WF, MIA, GT
Pool D: UVA, CLEM, DUKE

I'll go:
A: Head = LOU; Heart = FSU
B: Head = UNC; Heart = NCST
C: Head = MIA; Heart = GT
D: Head = UVA; Heart = UVA
Click to expand...
A: FSU
B: UNC
C: GT
D: CLEM

I believe that UNC will win it all just because of their staff.
 
GTNavyNuke

GTNavyNuke

Helluva Engineer
Featured Member
Messages
9,903
Location
Williamsburg Virginia
I'll play the odds in all cases (and be wrong). L'Ville wins all, top seeds (UNC, Wake, UVa) win their divisions.

Not only are the top seeds the best but while it is 100% single elimination for the second and third tier of each bracket, it is sort of 65% elimination for the top seed. Logic:
  • Say the top seed loses to the middle seed, then the middle seed is favored probably 60/40 to beat the lower seed and finish the sweep.
  • Say the top seed loses to the lowest seed, the the lowest seed is the 40/60 underdog.
  • Kind of averages out to a 50/50 chance that the two lower seed will do the sweep.
  • The top seed has to win their second game, which they are like 70% likely to do.
  • So given a top seed loss, they are still ~35% likely to advance (=50%*70%).
Here's who I'd like to win it all:
1) GT
2) UVa
3) Wake
4) NC State
5) BC
6) None of the above will be a fitting end for me for a crappy year.
 
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