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9 teams have not lost a game
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<blockquote data-quote="GTNavyNuke" data-source="post: 86033" data-attributes="member: 322"><p>Atomic is now up to where Atomic Football is <img src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7" class="smilie smilie--sprite smilie--sprite11" alt=":rolleyes:" title="Roll Eyes :rolleyes:" loading="lazy" data-shortname=":rolleyes:" /> at 9-3 <a href="http://atomicfootball.com/archive/teams/tm_9.html" target="_blank">http://atomicfootball.com/archive/teams/tm_9.html</a></p><p></p><p>Atomic Football started the season with us at 9-3 and went down to 8-4 after we didn't do so well score wise against the first three teams (gave up a lot of points).</p><p></p><p>I think 9-3 is the most realistic view. Here's why. To win the Miami game we needed no turnovers; there will be turnovers by "accident" because that's the nature of football. We get a few of those and expose the D for 35 minutes of the game in a hurry up 80+ play game per side and we have our weakness exposed. Plus we were very fortunate to beat VT - in the 4th quarter there were 4 or 5 plays which if they had gone the other way we lose.</p><p></p><p>Here are the remaining games and Atomic (Football) probability of a GT win:</p><p>Duke 63% - about right</p><p>@UNC 55% - that looks low based on how UNC has been playing. But playing them at their place we have had problems on and off. They have the athletes and could very well throw caution to the wind - go for it on 4th and 1 at their own 34 and make it consistently, get confidence and get rolling. They must have a lot of hate built up.</p><p>@ Pitt 52% - that is a toss up by Atomic but I think it is low too. Pitt wasn't that impressive against Louisville, but we have to play them away. Pitt is 3-3 and lost their last 3 including a home loss to Akron (3-2).</p><p>UVa 72% - wow this is high given how the UVa D is coming on this year. But I think we win this one because know how big of game it is and it's at home. Should be a good crowd for homecoming.</p><p>@NCState 69% - NC State is 4-2 with those losses to FSU ("quality" loss) and Clemson. They could be a sleeper and if they get up 24 on us in the first qtr @ home, I doubt we come back.</p><p>Clemson 29% - if it were at Clemson it would be in the teens. Probable loss given their D and O. But hey our ST may very well be better!</p><p>@UGAg 20% - Probable loss. UGAg game at the end of the season is not good since they have a lot more depth to weather the inevitable injuries. UGAg will be pissed that they aren't in the SEC championship.</p><p></p><p>Anyway the Atomic odds of us winning all our Coastal games (which would almost guarantee a Coastal win with at most 2 Atlantic losses max) is 13% (=.63*.55*.52*.72)<img src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7" class="smilie smilie--sprite smilie--sprite17" alt=":love:" title="Love :love:" loading="lazy" data-shortname=":love:" /></p><p></p><p>BTW, the odds of making a bowl are up to 99.6% <img src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7" class="smilie smilie--sprite smilie--sprite13" alt=":barefoot:" title="Barefoot :barefoot:" loading="lazy" data-shortname=":barefoot:" /></p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="GTNavyNuke, post: 86033, member: 322"] Atomic is now up to where Atomic Football is :rolleyes: at 9-3 [url]http://atomicfootball.com/archive/teams/tm_9.html[/url] Atomic Football started the season with us at 9-3 and went down to 8-4 after we didn't do so well score wise against the first three teams (gave up a lot of points). I think 9-3 is the most realistic view. Here's why. To win the Miami game we needed no turnovers; there will be turnovers by "accident" because that's the nature of football. We get a few of those and expose the D for 35 minutes of the game in a hurry up 80+ play game per side and we have our weakness exposed. Plus we were very fortunate to beat VT - in the 4th quarter there were 4 or 5 plays which if they had gone the other way we lose. Here are the remaining games and Atomic (Football) probability of a GT win: Duke 63% - about right @UNC 55% - that looks low based on how UNC has been playing. But playing them at their place we have had problems on and off. They have the athletes and could very well throw caution to the wind - go for it on 4th and 1 at their own 34 and make it consistently, get confidence and get rolling. They must have a lot of hate built up. @ Pitt 52% - that is a toss up by Atomic but I think it is low too. Pitt wasn't that impressive against Louisville, but we have to play them away. Pitt is 3-3 and lost their last 3 including a home loss to Akron (3-2). UVa 72% - wow this is high given how the UVa D is coming on this year. But I think we win this one because know how big of game it is and it's at home. Should be a good crowd for homecoming. @NCState 69% - NC State is 4-2 with those losses to FSU ("quality" loss) and Clemson. They could be a sleeper and if they get up 24 on us in the first qtr @ home, I doubt we come back. Clemson 29% - if it were at Clemson it would be in the teens. Probable loss given their D and O. But hey our ST may very well be better! @UGAg 20% - Probable loss. UGAg game at the end of the season is not good since they have a lot more depth to weather the inevitable injuries. UGAg will be pissed that they aren't in the SEC championship. Anyway the Atomic odds of us winning all our Coastal games (which would almost guarantee a Coastal win with at most 2 Atlantic losses max) is 13% (=.63*.55*.52*.72):love: BTW, the odds of making a bowl are up to 99.6% :barefoot: [/QUOTE]
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