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70 Years of GT Football – Comparing Teams Under Different Coaches
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<blockquote data-quote="GTNavyNuke" data-source="post: 47235" data-attributes="member: 322"><p>In the post on Strength of Schedule <a href="http://gtswarm.com/community/threads/70-years-of-gt-football-%E2%80%93-strength-of-schedule.2489/" target="_blank">http://gtswarm.com/community/threads/70-years-of-gt-football-–-strength-of-schedule.2489/</a> , I discussed the J Howell Power Rankings. There are other ways teams and coaches are compared, most notably the winning percentage. But I don’t like winning percentage that well since some coaches get easier schedules (cupcakes and killers) than others. To evaluate coaches, you can also look at National Ranking, which is a better metric since it is based on who you play and how you win or lose. The National Ranking I use here is the one from J Howell so it is related to their system of Power Ranking. Here is a graph comparing GT coaches on the basis of the average national ranking of the team, the winning % and Power Ranking.</p><p></p><p><img src="https://www.mediafire.com/convkey/5e97/hv8ul04c3kkvv7p6g.jpg" alt="" class="fr-fic fr-dii fr-draggable " style="" /></p><p></p><p>Dodd will be the best no matter how the statistics are tortured. Out teams under him were phenomenal. Next is O’Leary.</p><p></p><p>Then the following three coaches need some more thought – Gailey, Johnson and Ross. Finally there are five more coaches whose teams didn’t do as well.</p><p></p><p>On the chart, I sorted them by average National Finish. You can see that Johnson has a higher winning % than Gailey. But Gailey’s teams were ranked higher. That’s because Gailey had a tougher Strength of Schedule. Here’s the data for coaches again sorted chronologically:</p><p></p><p><a href="https://www.mediafire.com/convkey/5e97/hv8ul04c3kkvv7p6g.jpg" target="_blank"><img src="http://www.mediafire.com/convkey/f52a/i2cvxac33ja13jb6g.jpg" alt="" class="fr-fic fr-dii fr-draggable " style="" /> </a></p><p>But there is more to it than averages. I also like to look at how a coach was trending through his time at Tech.</p><p><img src="https://www.mediafire.com/convkey/b629/nvo2opa25t2oytu6g.jpg" alt="" class="fr-fic fr-dii fr-draggable " style="" /></p><p>O’Leary and Ross were on an upswing when the left with both going on to what they hoped were more lucrative positions. Ross took over a poor performing program and turned it into a national champion for a brief shining moment (fortune smiled on us that season). Gailey was kind of flat to down his last year and CPJ as we have seen was trending downward then had an uptick last year.</p><p></p><p>So, if I rank the program performance under coaches here’s my order:</p><p>· Dodd in a class by himself.</p><p>· Then O’Leary.</p><p>· Then out of the next three think they are all about the same with Gailey overcoming the tough schedule, Ross for winning a NC and improving from a dismal start and then CPJ being fairly solid for the level of football since Dodd left.</p><p>· After that, the next five are moot.</p><p></p><p>Any thoughts on these historical rankings?</p><p></p><p>Next I’ll look to the future since the CPJ story isn’t over. Things can change. CPJ has been here as long as anyone since Dodd going into 2014. So he is on a historically short leash. And he totally owns the team’s performance. Let's discuss CPJ's future in the next post ......</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="GTNavyNuke, post: 47235, member: 322"] In the post on Strength of Schedule [URL='http://gtswarm.com/community/threads/70-years-of-gt-football-%E2%80%93-strength-of-schedule.2489/']http://gtswarm.com/community/threads/70-years-of-gt-football-–-strength-of-schedule.2489/[/URL] , I discussed the J Howell Power Rankings. There are other ways teams and coaches are compared, most notably the winning percentage. But I don’t like winning percentage that well since some coaches get easier schedules (cupcakes and killers) than others. To evaluate coaches, you can also look at National Ranking, which is a better metric since it is based on who you play and how you win or lose. The National Ranking I use here is the one from J Howell so it is related to their system of Power Ranking. Here is a graph comparing GT coaches on the basis of the average national ranking of the team, the winning % and Power Ranking. [IMG]https://www.mediafire.com/convkey/5e97/hv8ul04c3kkvv7p6g.jpg[/IMG] Dodd will be the best no matter how the statistics are tortured. Out teams under him were phenomenal. Next is O’Leary. Then the following three coaches need some more thought – Gailey, Johnson and Ross. Finally there are five more coaches whose teams didn’t do as well. On the chart, I sorted them by average National Finish. You can see that Johnson has a higher winning % than Gailey. But Gailey’s teams were ranked higher. That’s because Gailey had a tougher Strength of Schedule. Here’s the data for coaches again sorted chronologically: [URL='https://www.mediafire.com/convkey/5e97/hv8ul04c3kkvv7p6g.jpg'][IMG]http://www.mediafire.com/convkey/f52a/i2cvxac33ja13jb6g.jpg[/IMG] [/URL] But there is more to it than averages. I also like to look at how a coach was trending through his time at Tech. [IMG]https://www.mediafire.com/convkey/b629/nvo2opa25t2oytu6g.jpg[/IMG] O’Leary and Ross were on an upswing when the left with both going on to what they hoped were more lucrative positions. Ross took over a poor performing program and turned it into a national champion for a brief shining moment (fortune smiled on us that season). Gailey was kind of flat to down his last year and CPJ as we have seen was trending downward then had an uptick last year. So, if I rank the program performance under coaches here’s my order: · Dodd in a class by himself. · Then O’Leary. · Then out of the next three think they are all about the same with Gailey overcoming the tough schedule, Ross for winning a NC and improving from a dismal start and then CPJ being fairly solid for the level of football since Dodd left. · After that, the next five are moot. Any thoughts on these historical rankings? Next I’ll look to the future since the CPJ story isn’t over. Things can change. CPJ has been here as long as anyone since Dodd going into 2014. So he is on a historically short leash. And he totally owns the team’s performance. Let's discuss CPJ's future in the next post ...... [/QUOTE]
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