2026 NCAA Baseball Tournament

Lagrangejacket

Jolly Good Fellow
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413
Am I the only one who will not be upset if UCLA is the #1? Both teams are double conference champions, they are #1 in RPI, and while yes, they've had an easier schedule, they have beaten the good teams they've played: they are 11-1 (.917) against Q1, whereas we are 22-5 (.815). Combined Q1/Q2, they are 25-2 (.926), and we are 25-7 (.781).
 
gtbeak

gtbeak

Helluva Engineer
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Lagrangejacket said:
Am I the only one who will not be upset if UCLA is the #1? Both teams are double conference champions, they are #1 in RPI, and while yes, they've had an easier schedule, they have beaten the good teams they've played: they are 11-1 (.917) against Q1, whereas we are 22-5 (.815). Combined Q1/Q2, they are 25-2 (.926), and we are 25-7 (.781).
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I honestly don't care much, and I think there are many on here in that boat. It is 99.999% irrelevant if you ask me.
 

GT33

Helluva Engineer
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3,773
Lagrangejacket said:
Am I the only one who will not be upset if UCLA is the #1? Both teams are double conference champions, they are #1 in RPI, and while yes, they've had an easier schedule, they have beaten the good teams they've played: they are 11-1 (.917) against Q1, whereas we are 22-5 (.815). Combined Q1/Q2, they are 25-2 (.926), and we are 25-7 (.781).
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As far as I'm concerned they can have the pre-playoff trophy. I want the one at the end of the year.
 

YJMD

Helluva Engineer
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1,678
Lagrangejacket said:
Am I the only one who will not be upset if UCLA is the #1? Both teams are double conference champions, they are #1 in RPI, and while yes, they've had an easier schedule, they have beaten the good teams they've played: they are 11-1 (.917) against Q1, whereas we are 22-5 (.815). Combined Q1/Q2, they are 25-2 (.926), and we are 25-7 (.781).
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I'm not sure anyone would be upset. They shouldn't be. I do think we're the better team, but I think seeding should reflect what you've accomplished and not who might be a betting favorite to win head to head. Very competing arguments can be made as to which team has the better strength of record.
 
gtbeak

gtbeak

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gtbeak said:
Completing my bracket now based on the last data. Documenting my thoughts here:

1) With the final data and a little bit of bias by knowing the answer, I agree with the 16 host sites 100%
2) I have us #1 over UCLA
3) In the Auburn/UNC debate, while they are close, I give the nod to UNC. I actually have Texas at #5 based on H2H win over Auburn.
4) My #29-#32 pod is Miami, Oklahoma St, Liberty, and Louisiana. I agree that we will get Louisiana as our 2 seed
5) Sticking w/ Kentucky as our 3 seed
6) The final spot in my assessment comes down to Pitt, NC State, TCU, and UTSA. I think I slightly lean Pitt, but that 14-20 conference record is hard to stomach. I think I have UTSA as first out, followed by NC State and TCU. One critical data point I am missing is the assessment's from the regional sub-committees. Plus the health of Marohn and how that will impact their thoughts.
7) Stay tuned for our 4 seed, I haven't made it down that far yet.
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7) I'm keeping Milwaukee as our 4 seed
8) So I have our regional as Georgia Tech/Louisiana/Kentucky/Milwaukee
9) I have UGa's regional as Georgia/Miami/Central Florida/Illinois-Chicago
10) The 3 seed for us and UNC is a little tough...we both have mid-major 2 seeds, but the 3 seeds are mostly also mid-majors, so one of us likely will have zero P4s in their regional. Right now I have UNC getting Liberty & The Citadel, but maybe it should be us getting someone like The Citadel as the 3 seed and sending Kentucky to Chapel Hill.
11) SEC/ACC matchups in the regionals, I have Georgia v Miami, Auburn v Virginia, and Florida St v Tennessee. I also have Pitt as a 3 seed at Alabama, Boston College as a 3 seed at Texas, and Virginia Tech as a 3 seed at Florida.
12) In the super regional I have us matched up with a west coast regional of Oregon/Oregon St/UCSB/Washington St.

Just documenting where I stand. We'll know the real answer in about 45 minutes to an hour.
 

CINCYMETJACKET

Helluva Engineer
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1,536
Lagrangejacket said:
Am I the only one who will not be upset if UCLA is the #1? Both teams are double conference champions, they are #1 in RPI, and while yes, they've had an easier schedule, they have beaten the good teams they've played: they are 11-1 (.917) against Q1, whereas we are 22-5 (.815). Combined Q1/Q2, they are 25-2 (.926), and we are 25-7 (.781).
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This brings me to a question I have regarding strength of schedule rankings reported between WarrenNolan and D1Baseball.

Strength of schedule should be a simple calculation, i.e. your opponent's records. However the RPI results show the following:

Warrennolan.com: UCLA 25 SOS, 69 Non Con SOS; GT 15 SOS, 179 Non Con SOS
D1Baseball.com: UCLA 28 SOS, 88 Non Con SOS; GT 29 SOS, 225 Non Con SOS

I know that the ACC calculates strength of schedule for their teams by subtracting games played against the opponent you're calculating strength of schedule for. Is that the difference here? It just seems odd that 2 publications can have significantly different numbers for strength of schedule when it is just a simple calculation.
 
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