SimpleGT
Jolly Good Fellow
- Messages
- 171
- Location
- Simpsonville SC
Is it possible that Johnson is such a pr--k that all these baseball writers are all channeling wishful thinking?
2026 Baseball - General
- Thread starter FredJacket
- Start date
gtbeak
Helluva Engineer
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- 1,511
They claim to take this into account, but at a lower priority level. But they claim to try to avoid re-matches from the regular season.
L41k18
Helluva Engineer
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- 1,011
Haha maybe.
But pr**kishness can have an effect on committee members too.
Eli
Helluva Engineer
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- 3,658
They just aren’t very good, but they will most likely be in unfortunately. If they make it then NC State should make it as I saw where Kentucky had the weakest SEC conference and still only won 2 series..
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- 6,955
The bigger question is this...do you really want them knocked out by someone else before we get the opportunity to do so?? A tough question, although there is no wrong answer here.
L41k18
Helluva Engineer
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I want all the other top seeds to get knocked out early.
Techwood Relict
Helluva Engineer
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GTNN answered properly.
gtrower
Helluva Engineer
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Mercer would be a trendy pick in this regional.
GT33
Helluva Engineer
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- 3,773
That and mutt is the least liked land grant. I know Bama dislikes Barn and Tex does not like A&M, but I believe the universal disdain for the mutts is pretty much across the board.
Buzz Rules!
Jolly Good Fellow
- Messages
- 171
Having fun while watching a boring Clemson/Notre Dame game...
Did some analysis of where teams ended up in the "metrics that count" rankings:
Included here are the PEAR NET (just for listing order and reference) and ELO (my favorite overall). I also provided a Composite of DSR, RPI, and KPI. I calculated that a little different than some might expect, as I only included top 16 results in each metric. So took the average of each metric if you had all three and ranked them. Broke ties by picking the ranking most closely consistent across each of the metrics. Then I repeated for those in a top 16 in two metrics. And then one.
Before I get jumped on with the "just play the games crowd" (just move along people really
), here is why I look at metrics: 1) I like reviewing metrics and their relative strengths for predictability 2) I like having some idea where we stand in comparison with other teams and how we might fit in to playoffs, and 3) most importantly, reviewing how GT (and ACC in general) gets screwed by selection committees (it happens a lot across sports and the spin is entertaining).
Here is what the composite numbers would yield for the top 16 in playoffs vs. D1 baseball projections:
Good news out of all of this is that I think it will be really hard to move us out of the top two spots no matter what happens this weekend. Generally, committees have a general idea of placement of top 16 before going into conference championships and only move teams a couple of spots (its a logistics thing mostly). And yes, placement does really matter. We are more than likely going to get an SEC team and I want the lowest of the lowest and not some mid tier who had all injured players miraculously back for a regional run. That being said, I would be shocked if we get more than one ACC team in the top four. So if UNCheat beats us in the Championship game, for example, would they have a contingency to flip our spots in the top 16?
But if we do get one of the top two seeds I don't think we have any business losing a Regional this year. There would really be no excuse. Sure it is baseball, which I find the most unpredictable of all sports. I mean what other sport do you have to change your most valuable ball handler (e.g. QB, point guard) every game and he can only play in 1 in every 3 or 4 games? But still, no excuse. As far as Supers, well it will depends on the matchup and how the ball bounces. I'm afraid we don't have enough lockdown pitching to prevent sh*t happening, although I do like the chances of our offense tiring out a pitching staff across a series.
For Omaha, for me, it is a hell yeah and let's go have fun regardless what happens. But the one team I don't want to see in a series or their best pitchers for a single game is Texas
Did some analysis of where teams ended up in the "metrics that count" rankings:
| PEAR NET | Team | RPI | DSR | KPI | Composite | ELO |
1 | UCLA | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
2 | Georgia Tech | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
3 | Texas | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
4 | Georgia | 14 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 3 |
5 | North Carolina | 5 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
6 | Texas A&M | 11 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 7 |
7 | Auburn | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
8 | Mississippi St. | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 8 |
9 | West Virginia | 9 | 13 | 13 | 10 | |
10 | Nebraska | 9 | 15 | 14 | 17 | |
11 | Alabama | 6 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 13 |
12 | Florida | 10 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 9 |
13 | Florida St. | 7 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 11 |
14 | Kansas | 15 | 19 | |||
15 | USC | 8 | 16 | 25 | ||
16 | Oregon St. | 12 | 15 | |||
17 | Ole Miss | 15 | 16 | 12 | 12 | 20 |
18 | Oklahoma | 26 | ||||
19 | Southern Miss. | 13 | 14 | 15 | 22 | |
20 | Oregon | 16 | 18 | |||
21 | Wake Forest | 14 | 14 | |||
22 | Arkansas | 16 | 12 | |||
23 | Cincinnati | 30 | ||||
24 | Tennessee | 16 | ||||
25 | Oklahoma St. | 21 |
Included here are the PEAR NET (just for listing order and reference) and ELO (my favorite overall). I also provided a Composite of DSR, RPI, and KPI. I calculated that a little different than some might expect, as I only included top 16 results in each metric. So took the average of each metric if you had all three and ranked them. Broke ties by picking the ranking most closely consistent across each of the metrics. Then I repeated for those in a top 16 in two metrics. And then one.
Before I get jumped on with the "just play the games crowd" (just move along people really
), here is why I look at metrics: 1) I like reviewing metrics and their relative strengths for predictability 2) I like having some idea where we stand in comparison with other teams and how we might fit in to playoffs, and 3) most importantly, reviewing how GT (and ACC in general) gets screwed by selection committees (it happens a lot across sports and the spin is entertaining). Here is what the composite numbers would yield for the top 16 in playoffs vs. D1 baseball projections:
| Composite Order | D1 Baseball |
| Georgia Tech | UCLA |
| UCLA | Georgia Tech |
| Auburn | Georgia |
| Texas | North Carolina |
| North Carolina | Texas |
| Florida St. | Alabama |
| Georgia | Auburn |
| Florida | Texas A&M |
| Alabama | Southern Miss |
| Texas A&M | Florida |
| Mississippi St. | Florida St. |
| Ole Miss | West Virginia |
| West Virginia | Nebraska |
| Nebraska | Mississippi St. |
| Southern Miss. | Kansas |
| USC | Oregon |
Good news out of all of this is that I think it will be really hard to move us out of the top two spots no matter what happens this weekend. Generally, committees have a general idea of placement of top 16 before going into conference championships and only move teams a couple of spots (its a logistics thing mostly). And yes, placement does really matter. We are more than likely going to get an SEC team and I want the lowest of the lowest and not some mid tier who had all injured players miraculously back for a regional run. That being said, I would be shocked if we get more than one ACC team in the top four. So if UNCheat beats us in the Championship game, for example, would they have a contingency to flip our spots in the top 16?
But if we do get one of the top two seeds I don't think we have any business losing a Regional this year. There would really be no excuse. Sure it is baseball, which I find the most unpredictable of all sports. I mean what other sport do you have to change your most valuable ball handler (e.g. QB, point guard) every game and he can only play in 1 in every 3 or 4 games? But still, no excuse. As far as Supers, well it will depends on the matchup and how the ball bounces. I'm afraid we don't have enough lockdown pitching to prevent sh*t happening, although I do like the chances of our offense tiring out a pitching staff across a series.
For Omaha, for me, it is a hell yeah and let's go have fun regardless what happens. But the one team I don't want to see in a series or their best pitchers for a single game is Texas
techbball21
Georgia Tech Fan
- Messages
- 50
If Kentucky makes it in the field, I suspect we end up with UK as our 3 and UCF or TCU as the 2. I think TN, Arkansas, and Oklahoma are going to end up too highly rated to be our 2 seed.
The RPI and # of SEC wins make me think UK is in but they have a lot against them too. I would happily take UK as our 3.
The RPI and # of SEC wins make me think UK is in but they have a lot against them too. I would happily take UK as our 3.
jhhjls
Georgia Tech Fan
- Messages
- 6
Only JA's first AB of the season. But that was a lousy call by the umpire IMO so I'd tend to let it slide. Only on this team could one trip to the plate count as a cold streak!
Eli
Helluva Engineer
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- 3,658
He reminds me of Ichiro with his swing plane.
DecaturJacket
Helluva Engineer
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- Decatur where it's greatur
PG Page for those interested (college stats mean more at this point, but I always like to use these to get an idea of where guys were coming out of hs):
Brady Christman Class of 2025 - Player Profile | Perfect Game USA
Brady Christman Class of 2025 Perfect Game Player Profile
www.perfectgame.org
Easily Southern's best hitter. Started the season as DH, ended playing mostly LF.
Definitely looks like he'd be a solid get.
GT33
Helluva Engineer
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- 3,773
If he can hit like PFB, sign him up!PG Page for those interested (college stats mean more at this point, but I always like to use these to get an idea of where guys were coming out of hs):
Brady Christman Class of 2025 - Player Profile | Perfect Game USA
Brady Christman Class of 2025 Perfect Game Player Profile
View attachment 22082
Easily Southern's best hitter. Started the season as DH, ended playing mostly LF.
Definitely looks like he'd be a solid get.
Eli
Helluva Engineer
- Messages
- 3,658
PG Page for those interested (college stats mean more at this point, but I always like to use these to get an idea of where guys were coming out of hs):
Brady Christman Class of 2025 - Player Profile | Perfect Game USA
Brady Christman Class of 2025 Perfect Game Player Profile
View attachment 22082
Easily Southern's best hitter. Started the season as DH, ended playing mostly LF.
Definitely looks like he'd be a solid get.
Depending on what Hernandez does we will need to add another OF.
C: Rogers
1B: Schmidt
2nd: Baker/Brown
SS: Galason/Dee/Baker
3B: Most likely the JUCO kid forgot his name
LF: Lewis
CF: Daniel
RF: Baker then ?
DH: Baker/Brown/Coupet