They didn’t have to play a perfect game. They just had to make the routine plays and the game probably turns out different. The decision to kick a 54 yd FG was the beginning of the end. Should have gone for it and kept momentum but that didn't happen.
I haven’t gone through the plays, but NC
I pulled up the drives. NC State elected to take the opening kickoff because they know what kind of team they are--they play better with a lead than from behind. You also need to pressure Bailey, and we didn't all day long.
If you've been a fan of GT for a while, you can remember being in shootouts. If you're trading scores, you have to keep scoring TDs until the other team flinches.
There were four drives in Q1: NC State TD, GT TD, NC State TD, GT FG. We were down at the end of the first because we couldn't hold serve. 10-14 (our score first)
Q2, NC State punts--this is important, because it's our first shot at playing with a lead. GT TD--we lead and take the advantage 17-14. NC State fumbled into the end zone for a score--17-21. GT fails on drive and misses FG. We failed to hold serve, and lose the advantage. NC State FG--halftime 17-24: a full TD lead
At halftime, we had shot ourselves in the foot. We had one punt from NC State, so we had a chance to control the game. We surrendered that chance.
Q3: if we played Q2 well, we would take the kickoff with a chance to lead, but we barely had a chance to tie. We bungled the middle 8-- the for minutes on either side of halftime. GT FG, 20-24, which was better than nothing, but we failed to keep pace again.
NC State TD: 20-31. They aren't having trouble scoring. Not only is this the shootout I hoped wouldn't happen, but we can't shoot as well as them. GT FG, NC State TD, GT TD. 30-38 at the end of Q3, NC State has the ball.
Q4: NC State FG--better than a TD, but small comfort. 30-41, two score lead. GT punt. NC State TD, 30-48. GT TD, NC State punt, end of game, 36-48.
Yes, the defense was terrible, but teams in shootouts do win them if they can hold serve—we couldn’t
For plays that turned the game, it’s mostly us having opportunities and not being able to execute:
https://gameonpaper.com/cfb/game/401754579
I put in bold the negative plays where we shot ourselves in the foot.
Most Important Plays
As determined by absolute WPA.
| Time | Offense | Play Description | EPA | WP% | WPA |
|---|
| Q4 8:25 | GT | (4th & 11 at GT 24) (08:29) #47 M.Nichols punt 42 yards to the NCSU34 #9 T.Anderson return 0 yards to the NCSU34 (#27 C.Alexander; #39 W.Kiker) PENALTY NCSU Holding (#36 K.McBride) 10 yards from NCSU34 to NCSU24 - GT 30, NCSU 41 | 3.39 | 6.1% | 85.2% |
| | | | | |
| Q3 10:21 | GT | (1st & Goal at NCSU 2) (10:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Haynes rush middle for 0 yards to the NCSU02 (#52 C.Wallace) - GT 17, NCSU 24 | -7.51 | 55.4% | -20.0% |
| | | | | |
| Q2 2:50 | GT | (1st & 10 at GT 25) (02:58) Shotgun #10 H.King rush middle for 10 yards gain to the GT35 (#1 C.Fordham), 1ST DOWN - GT 17, NCSU 21 | 0.40 | 73.2% | -19.3% |
| | | | | |
| Q3 2:49 | NCST | (3rd & 6 at NCSU 45) Teddy Hoffmann 55 Yd pass from CJ Bailey (Kanoah Vinesett Kick) - GT 23, NCSU 38 | 5.63 | 73.4% | 19.0% |
| | | | | |
| Q2 4:26 | NCST | (3rd & 20 at NCSU 33) (04:38) Shotgun #11 C.Bailey pass complete deep right to #9 T.Anderson caught at GT25, for 51 yards to the GT16 (#1 C.Spaulding), 1ST DOWN - GT 17, NCSU 14 | 5.10 | 24.6% | 18.8% |
| | | | | |
| Q2 7:37 | GT | (1st & Goal at NCSU 2) (07:42) Shotgun #10 H.King rush middle for 0 yards to the NCSU02 (#44 B.Cleveland; #1 C.Fordham) - GT 10, NCSU 14 | -6.69 | 68.0% | -16.9% |
| | | | | |
| Q1 7:54 | GT | (2nd & 12 at GT 23) (08:09) Shotgun #10 H.King pass complete short middle to #85 J.Allen caught at GT40, for 50 yards to the NCSU27 (#33 K.Soares, Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN - GT 0, NCSU 7 | 4.81 | 44.3% | 12.2% |
| | | | | |
| Q3 0:08 | GT | (2nd & Goal at NCSU 3) Haynes King 3 Yd Run (Aidan Birr Kick) - GT 30, NCSU 38 | 1.37 | 13.7% | 10.7% |
| | | | | |
| Q2 13:49 | GT | (4th & 10 at NCSU 26) A. Birr 43 yd FG GOOD - GT 10, NCSU 14 | 1.90 | 48.1% | 10.2% |
| | | | | |
| Q2 1:08 | GT | (2nd & 6 at NCSU 36) (01:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 H.King sacked for loss of 9 yards to the NCSU45 (#1 C.Fordham, #92 C.Bond) - GT 17, NCSU 21 | -1.77 | 58.9% | -10.2% |
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