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2024 ACC Football Schedule Reveal - Jan 24th, ACC Network and ESPN2
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<blockquote data-quote="apatriot1776" data-source="post: 996275" data-attributes="member: 3118"><p>This is true but if the #4 SEC and #4 BIG teams get in (+ 1 G5) there’s still room for a second ACC or B12 team.</p><p></p><p>I went through the rankings and historically it’s uncommon for a P5 10-win team to be out of the top 12 while a 9-win team makes it. Here’s the full list:</p><p></p><p>2014 Missouri, Wisconsin (behind 9-3 Ole Miss)</p><p>2015 Northwestern, Ok St, Florida (behind 9-2 Baylor)</p><p>2017 Washington (behind 9-3 Stanford)</p><p>2018 Washington St (behind 9-3 Washington, 9-3 Penn State)</p><p>2019 Alabama(!), Oregon, Notre Dame, Minnesota (behind 9-3 Auburn)</p><p></p><p>In over half those examples the SEC or B1G/future B1G even got bit. And if the last 9-3 team gets replaced by one G5 champ that were outside the top 12 (ie. how it would look going forward) that list would go down even further. In 2014, 2015, 2017, and 2019 the highest rated G5 was outside the top 12 and would replace #12 Ole Miss, #12 Baylor, #12 Stanford, and #12 Auburn. So if we make sure a G5 makes it in the top 12, the full list of P5 10-win teams to get left out in favor of a 9-win team over the past ten years is:</p><p></p><p>2018 Washington St (behind 9-3 Washington, 9-3 Penn State)</p><p></p><p>The upshot of it is, could we get left out for a 10-2 SEC or B1G team, sure, there’s examples of that happening in the polls. But the doomerism of getting left out for an 8-4 or even 9-3 SEC team every year is unrealistic, barring a major change in how they rank teams.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="apatriot1776, post: 996275, member: 3118"] This is true but if the #4 SEC and #4 BIG teams get in (+ 1 G5) there’s still room for a second ACC or B12 team. I went through the rankings and historically it’s uncommon for a P5 10-win team to be out of the top 12 while a 9-win team makes it. Here’s the full list: 2014 Missouri, Wisconsin (behind 9-3 Ole Miss) 2015 Northwestern, Ok St, Florida (behind 9-2 Baylor) 2017 Washington (behind 9-3 Stanford) 2018 Washington St (behind 9-3 Washington, 9-3 Penn State) 2019 Alabama(!), Oregon, Notre Dame, Minnesota (behind 9-3 Auburn) In over half those examples the SEC or B1G/future B1G even got bit. And if the last 9-3 team gets replaced by one G5 champ that were outside the top 12 (ie. how it would look going forward) that list would go down even further. In 2014, 2015, 2017, and 2019 the highest rated G5 was outside the top 12 and would replace #12 Ole Miss, #12 Baylor, #12 Stanford, and #12 Auburn. So if we make sure a G5 makes it in the top 12, the full list of P5 10-win teams to get left out in favor of a 9-win team over the past ten years is: 2018 Washington St (behind 9-3 Washington, 9-3 Penn State) The upshot of it is, could we get left out for a 10-2 SEC or B1G team, sure, there’s examples of that happening in the polls. But the doomerism of getting left out for an 8-4 or even 9-3 SEC team every year is unrealistic, barring a major change in how they rank teams. [/QUOTE]
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2024 ACC Football Schedule Reveal - Jan 24th, ACC Network and ESPN2
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