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<blockquote data-quote="takethepoints" data-source="post: 887471" data-attributes="member: 265"><p>One of my favorite books is Duncan Watts's <em>Everything Is Obvious (Once You Know the Answer)</em>. (Haven't read it? Do that at once.) The main story in the book is that the kind of "common sense" arguments we hear about cut blocking and knee injuries are almost always wrong. Common sense is very useful in everyday life and we tend to believe it is just as useful a tool when talking about large scale behavior. It isn't. Repeat: <em>it isn't</em>. Large scale behavior - like, say, football games -and their results are always an emergent process. The only way to make useful decisions about them is to collect data and see what it tells us. Sometimes - rarely - common sense wins out. Usually, we find that what our common sense tells us just plain wrong. And, now that we have football games on film at every level, saying that the data can't be collected is indefensible.</p><p></p><p>Ok, I know I'm preaching to the choir here so I'll stop. But major rule changes to a sport due to supposed injury dangers that aren't supported by data are, imho, just plain silly.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="takethepoints, post: 887471, member: 265"] One of my favorite books is Duncan Watts's [I]Everything Is Obvious (Once You Know the Answer)[/I]. (Haven't read it? Do that at once.) The main story in the book is that the kind of "common sense" arguments we hear about cut blocking and knee injuries are almost always wrong. Common sense is very useful in everyday life and we tend to believe it is just as useful a tool when talking about large scale behavior. It isn't. Repeat: [I]it isn't[/I]. Large scale behavior - like, say, football games -and their results are always an emergent process. The only way to make useful decisions about them is to collect data and see what it tells us. Sometimes - rarely - common sense wins out. Usually, we find that what our common sense tells us just plain wrong. And, now that we have football games on film at every level, saying that the data can't be collected is indefensible. Ok, I know I'm preaching to the choir here so I'll stop. But major rule changes to a sport due to supposed injury dangers that aren't supported by data are, imho, just plain silly. [/QUOTE]
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