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<blockquote data-quote="FredJacket" data-source="post: 407522" data-attributes="member: 2843"><p>I agree... the formula is pretty simple. If you get to .500 in conference play, you'll be a middle pack ACC team (at worst) and IN the field. That means we need to go 15-12 (minimum) over the remaining 27 ACC games. I think we can... but my confidence is seriously damaged based on the last 4 games (with a nod toward signs of problems...that I dismissed... earlier in the season). If somehow... the combination of home field, a legit weaker opponent (compared to Clemson & Auburn) in Va Tech, and simple "improvement"... all come together, a reversal of this negative trend would be great!</p><p></p><p>FWIW... we've played 16 games and the last 4 (25%) have been against what appear to be outstanding/elite teams on the national level. It could help our case at the end of May if our SOS remains really high. It'll go down some for sure... but right now RPI says we've played the 2nd most difficult schedule so far. I would only feel good about that if we'd managed to win at least one game against superior teams. Unless or until we do that... we are mediocre. We still have plenty of really good teams we can beat.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="FredJacket, post: 407522, member: 2843"] I agree... the formula is pretty simple. If you get to .500 in conference play, you'll be a middle pack ACC team (at worst) and IN the field. That means we need to go 15-12 (minimum) over the remaining 27 ACC games. I think we can... but my confidence is seriously damaged based on the last 4 games (with a nod toward signs of problems...that I dismissed... earlier in the season). If somehow... the combination of home field, a legit weaker opponent (compared to Clemson & Auburn) in Va Tech, and simple "improvement"... all come together, a reversal of this negative trend would be great! FWIW... we've played 16 games and the last 4 (25%) have been against what appear to be outstanding/elite teams on the national level. It could help our case at the end of May if our SOS remains really high. It'll go down some for sure... but right now RPI says we've played the 2nd most difficult schedule so far. I would only feel good about that if we'd managed to win at least one game against superior teams. Unless or until we do that... we are mediocre. We still have plenty of really good teams we can beat. [/QUOTE]
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