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All true. But probably not to the extent you think. If the virus peaks then comes under control, then we can breath a bit easier. That's what happened in Singapore; drastic shutdown of the whole island at first, but pretty much life as usual now. For right now, however, I have more faith in the...

That's what you do at this stage. Let's hope the more extreme results don't come to pass. That'll largely be up to us, until the anti-virals come online. Also, I think we can take it as read that those who are dead were "serious/critical" before they passed on.

Read the story. They got some of the slides from the CDC meeting and confirmed them with doctors in attendance. There's nothing "fake" about this. Especially since the CDC disease models confirm these estimates...

If the virus finds it harder to spread as the weather heats up, then there is some chance we might see some sporting events ramp up. But that's a big if. Personally, I think fall and, perhaps, winter sports will be cancelled as well as most spring and summer sports to boot; I don't see anything...

Hmmmmmm. After reading these projections, the level of "public acceptance" might change. See: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/13/us/coronavirus-deaths-estimate.html?action=click&module=Spotlight&pgtype=Homepage The number of deaths, given various "attack rates" and less effective social...

Here's a good article about COVID-19 and seasonality. I normally go to 538 for data-driven political articles - they're good at that - but they've been doing a lot on the virus recently, like everyone else. See: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/flu-comes-back-every-year-will-coronavirus/...

Thanks! I've reposted this about 100 times or so since you put it up. Very useful.

Almost all scientific research doesn't pay off in "a positive outcome for our nation or any business or cause". That's why we need to subsidize it, usually, given the scope of research projects today, through governments. How many "positive outcomes" have resulted from, say, Einstein's...

Sooooooooo right. It's like going to a big rock concert for me, a real experience. And I don't tail-gate. I just like watching the games.

There's a difference between the science prizes and the peace prize. The Noble in economics (it's actually the Swedish National Bank Prize in Honor of Alfred N0ble) is now pretty much a social science prize, but there's no doubt that Arrow deserved recognition. So did Krugman. Btw, this is a...

Did you read the post? That's largely because we went back to the same D that Roof used, but with tighter coverage. So it's actually - what? - four year in with basically the same system now. But no question that Collins is a D mavin. I expect we'll see better results going forward because of...

Yeah, I know: the market can't fail, we can only fail the market. It's an old argument and it doesn't wash, either logically (it's a tautology) or empirically. See the post I just did in r This is partially true. There are certain kinds of treatments for a few diseases that we lead the world...

Uh, dude, that "some academic" is Kenneth Arrow, the Noble prize winner and one of the most influential economists of the last century. And he was looking at the welfare problems with applying a market model with competition to health care. No need for data to test that, though all you have to...

Actually, I think it was more the transition to a new system that made the difference in 2018. I think Woody's D would have been about the same as this year's, once the players got used to it. With Thacker, it was essentially back to Ted with closer coverage. No doubt many players were happy...

Look, you know as well as I do why other countries have outperformed us on this: they all have national health services and we don't. There are some things you can let markets do. They're great for dry cleaning and building computers. They suck at providing health care for reasons outlined by...

Ah. But would those tests work? It should be obvious that churning out test kits for COVID-19 would be child's play for the inevitable grifters that hang around waiting for a chance to screw the consuming public. Some capitalists would behave and some sure as Hell wouldn't. The FDA was...

How about some papers by experts/ That always seems to help. See: https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2020/03/07/coronavirus-age-specific-fatality-ratio-estimated-using-stan/ And follow the links. The math is pretty tough in spots - and I don't like Bayesian analysis, period - but figuring...

We made Perkins look even better in that game. Of course, there's always the (very real)possibility that he's a better QB then Fromm …

Thanks! That was fun to watch. When we had the ball, that is. Btw, the DBs play better now, with pretty much the same talent.

Yep. And that's the one I was thinking of. I didn't check on the others; my bad.