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  1. slugboy

    CFP Discussion

    Thanks on Louisville. Bad crop on the table :(
  2. slugboy

    Stats models and rankings

    Either means or medians for P5 teams. If you’re in the bad/bad quadrant, you’re below average in both. Typically, you’d set that as the average, which makes the buckets easier. Total offense can be misleading. Under Johnson we were murder on the offensive efficiency stats, but there were a lot...
  3. slugboy

    Stats models and rankings

    FEI projects UVA over GT by 1.9 (25-23.1) https://www.bcftoys.com/2023-gp SP+ picks us over UVA by 0.4. CBC R2 is the best model against the spread this season according to CFB Picker. It has UVA 33.7 - GT 32.5 https://www.r2sportsmetrics.com/cbcr2-sam It looks like a nail biter in...
  4. slugboy

    Stats models and rankings

    College Football Geek has the best “straight up” forecasting percentage of the people that CFB Picker tracks Here’s an EPA offense v defense chart (FBS only). We’re below average for the P5, to the left on the x axis. UVA is to our left. And, the ACC highlighted
  5. slugboy

    CFP Discussion

    We knocked out Miami, Pitt knocked out Louisville, UVA knocked out UNC, and ND knocked out Duke Somehow, Louisville didn’t knock out Notre Dame
  6. slugboy

    Game 9 #GTvsUVA Media

    Slightly older article about Miami’s defensive coordinator, and their game against UNC two weeks ago...
  7. slugboy

    CFP Discussion

    There’s two teams from Kansas on that poll. That’s just wrong
  8. slugboy

    Stats models and rankings

    Scoring offense is the good one, though :D
  9. slugboy

    New ACC Schedule Format Reveal

    If we were being smart about it, the criteria for our permanent rivals should be They have a big (enough) fan base to fill our stadium They lose to us—so at least Atlanta is a house of horrors for them Clearly, the teams that fit the bill are UNC and FSU. Also, why doesn’t anyone ask for...
  10. slugboy

    New ACC Schedule Format Reveal

    We were never going to be happy with any outcome, right?
  11. slugboy

    Which of these 3 has mess up college football

    Moving TV contracts to conference-based contracts. If the NFL had separate contracts for the NFC South and the AFC North, and divisions could poach each other, what do you think the NFL would look like?
  12. slugboy

    New ACC Schedule Format Reveal

    I think you missed the point—we have an uneven revenue distribution based on performance. The situation has changed from 2 years ago. We will make less money if we don’t go bowling, so postseason goals are a bigger factor
  13. slugboy

    New ACC Schedule Format Reveal

    Two big constraints there all 17 teams playing each other at least twice over the next seven seasons And none will travel west to California in back-to-back seasons.
  14. slugboy

    New ACC Schedule Format Reveal

    “Get good matchups” was first :)
  15. slugboy

    New ACC Schedule Format Reveal

    I’m making some guesses. https://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/id/38782069/breaking-acc-football-matchups-2030?platform=amp Clemson only got one permanent rival—FSU. This looks like a matchup set up for ESPN. Clemson lost a bunch of historical matchups. The NCST one hurts them too. If...
  16. slugboy

    2023 ACC News & Discussion

    They have a really good DL. They switch between 4-3 and Nickel. The ACC has some really good defenses, and they’re one of the best, if not the best. Aside from the Duke loss, their losses have been close losses to good teams. They have no signature wins. They crush bad teams. They’re the...
  17. slugboy

    New ACC Schedule Format Reveal

    Also, Clemson, UNC, UVA, and a bunch of other schools didn’t ask for us.
  18. slugboy

    Stats models and rankings

    We’ve been a hoot this season From Bill Connelly: "Over the past five games, Georgia Tech has overachieved against SP+ projections by 28.6 points, underachieved by 29.7, overachieved by 26.9, underachieved by 24.4 and overachieved by 16.7." (Seen on Reddit)
  19. slugboy

    Any way to watch UVA game?

    See if it’s on “Atlanta News First” (ANF)
  20. slugboy

    Potential DC for Next Year

    There are so many variations of these defenses. Pete Carroll and Dan Quinn (despite his HC career in Atlanta, he’s regarded as a defensive genius) ran a 4-3 with the Legion of Boom, but it wasn’t any 4-3. Some players had a 2-gap assignment and some had a 1-gap assignment, including on the DL...
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