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  1. gtbeak

    2024 Season

    I see D1 Baseball updated their projections. d1baseball.com/stories/2024-d1baseball-field-of-64-projections-may-24/ They have us as a "last four in". Their "Last Four In" almost perfectly mirrors my first four out, except they agree Troy is the 1st team out. They actually have Northeastern OUT...
  2. gtbeak

    2024 Season

    My updated bubble list. Note that added UConn, making the cutoff point become the 11 spot: 1) Charleston <-- Conference tourney driver’s seat 2) Indiana <-- Conference tourney driver’s seat 3) St. John's <-- Conference tourney driver’s seat 4) Tulane <-- Conference tourney driver’s seat 5)...
  3. gtbeak

    2024 Season

    Conferences that are looking like stolen bids right now include: AAC - East Carolina playing in an elimination game @ 1 PM. Tulane and Wichita St are in the winner's bracket Big East - UConn *** has been eliminated (lost 2 extra inning games in one day!) and St. John's will have to be beaten...
  4. gtbeak

    2024 Season

    Georgia Southern did us a solid and beat James Madison last night. IMO this moves James Madison to the bad side of the bubble and moves us back up to the "last team in" spot. Still a lot of ball to play, as shown above. The UConn/Xavier game was suspended in the 6th, so I assume that game will...
  5. gtbeak

    2024 Season

    Oops, I somehow missed that Indiana St. lost their MVC opener today. If they can't come back through the loser's bracket that would be a stolen bid. Based on this I am now inserting Murray St. into the #3 spot above and pushing everyone down a spot. This means I now have us as the 1st team out...
  6. gtbeak

    2024 Season

    OK, here is my ranking of bubble teams now. The SEC tourney (suspiciously) has had every game go to the lower or equal seed, so I'm gonna say that they get at least 10 spots in the NCAA. Therefore I'm removing Alabama, South Carolina, Vanderbilt, and LSU from the list, they are in the tourney...
  7. gtbeak

    2024 Season

    That last sentence ("TBH, that's probably one of the toughest mid-week schedules you'll find.") spurred my interest. I looked at just the mid-week schedules of the top 15 SoS schools, and confirmed the statement. We do play a tougher mid-week than any of those 15. It looks like Xavier's mid-week...
  8. gtbeak

    2024 Season

    No agenda on my part, if that's what you're asking. I'm trying to say exactly what I wrote after the TL;DR. To state it differently, those of us who are saying we need to schedule better OOC aren't saying that we have to schedule UGa, Florida, Tennessee, and Vanderbilt for the four...
  9. gtbeak

    2024 Season

    I'm trying to hold-off on too many comments on this topic until I'm convinced the season is over, but I think this is 100% correct. It is time for a change, IMO.
  10. gtbeak

    2024 Season

    Joking aside (and our performance today did cause me to lose a little motivation), I'm planning to look at it again tonight and see where I think things stand. My guess is that we are around 25% chance of making the tourney, but that is just a guess right now.
  11. gtbeak

    2024 Season

    I know you said "give it a break", so forgive me, but this is really interesting to me.... Ole Miss' #30 OOC RPI, guess who they played on non-conference weekends... Hawaii, High Point, Iowa, and Morehead St. As we said about another team over the weekend, not exactly a murderer's row. None...
  12. gtbeak

    2024 Season

    Updating my table with today's results.... Root for (or against): East Carolina in AAC tournament <-- East Carolina won their opener Indiana St in Missouri Valley tournament <-- Starts tomorrow San Diego over Portland in West Coast tournament <-- Starts Thursday Lamar in Southland tournament...
  13. gtbeak

    2024 Season

    I've not seen or heard anything that would lead me to believe that CFDH is scheduling to pad his win totals. Nor do I think he is ignorant on the topic. My gut feel on the scheduling issue is that it is one of the following (listed in order of probability in my mind): 1) Hall wants to "help...
  14. gtbeak

    2024 Season

    Yep, and UVa is throwing their #1 guy at us. Our season is on the ropes. :(
  15. gtbeak

    2024 Season

    Well, it looks like we are getting one of UVa's top arms, maybe even their #1.
  16. gtbeak

    2024 Season

    Anyone have a D1 Baseball subscription who would be willing to do a brief review of this article? I would love to read it, but not willing to subscribe for the priviledge. https://d1baseball.com/postseason/etheridge-another-way-to-evaluate-the-field/?logged-in=19518&v=1716388925
  17. gtbeak

    ACC Baseball Tournament

    Prior to yesterday our total ERA was 6.39, which is 12th in the ACC. ACC average is 5.50, and the median is 5.66 None of our peripherals are great, but the primary driver to that high ERA is the amount of homeruns we surrender. We've allowed 81 so far (plus 3 or 4 yesterday), where league...
  18. gtbeak

    2024 Season

    Might I have been too quick to eliminate Texas Tech? They beat Texas last night in the Big 12 tourney and their RPI jumped to 52. Their 12-17 record in Big 12 regular season and 3-13 in Quad 1 games made me ignore them, but perhaps with another win I'll need to add them to the bubble list.
  19. gtbeak

    2024 Season

    Mississippi St scored 2 in the bottom of the 9th to beat Ole Miss 2-1 and end the Rebels season. They have an RPI in the 30's, but with a losing record overall are ineligible for consideration. Cal run ruled Washington in the PAC-12 tournament.
  20. gtbeak

    2024 Season

    About to call it a night. Thought I'd check on my list. Root for (or against): East Carolina in AAC tournament <-- East Carolina won their opener Indiana St in Missouri Valley tournament <-- Starts tomorrow San Diego over Portland in West Coast tournament <-- Starts Thursday Lamar in Southland...
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