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Why punt? Ever.
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<blockquote data-quote="RamblinRed" data-source="post: 862359" data-attributes="member: 1776"><p>1. This is true</p><p>2. This is true, but not always for the better</p><p>3. This is pure supposition and may be completely untrue. The offense may be less motivated that it was unable to move the ball and be less likely to make it on 4th down.</p><p>4. This is also complete speculation that may very well turn out to be false.</p><p></p><p>The idea of always going for it on 4th down seems like an absolutist position that is unlikely to work in the 'real world' of a game. First off, if an opponent knows you are always going to go for it on fourth down there play calling will likely change as well. That may work to your advantage or it may work to your disadvantage.</p><p></p><p>Let's take a scenario. 1st and 10 on the 25. You run on first down and gain 2 yds. Second and eight. You pass on second down, but it is incomplete. Third and 8. You pass and complete for a first down, but wait there is a penalty - holding, now you have 3rd and 18 on the 17 yd line. You expect to have 2 downs so you pass so gain yardage. Get 9 yds back - half way there. 4th and 9 on your own 26. Are you really going to go for it. If you make it great, your drive continues, but if you fail your opponent gains possession starting basically within scoring range. What are the odds of converting the 4th and 9.</p><p></p><p>This is a great thought exercise.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="RamblinRed, post: 862359, member: 1776"] 1. This is true 2. This is true, but not always for the better 3. This is pure supposition and may be completely untrue. The offense may be less motivated that it was unable to move the ball and be less likely to make it on 4th down. 4. This is also complete speculation that may very well turn out to be false. The idea of always going for it on 4th down seems like an absolutist position that is unlikely to work in the 'real world' of a game. First off, if an opponent knows you are always going to go for it on fourth down there play calling will likely change as well. That may work to your advantage or it may work to your disadvantage. Let's take a scenario. 1st and 10 on the 25. You run on first down and gain 2 yds. Second and eight. You pass on second down, but it is incomplete. Third and 8. You pass and complete for a first down, but wait there is a penalty - holding, now you have 3rd and 18 on the 17 yd line. You expect to have 2 downs so you pass so gain yardage. Get 9 yds back - half way there. 4th and 9 on your own 26. Are you really going to go for it. If you make it great, your drive continues, but if you fail your opponent gains possession starting basically within scoring range. What are the odds of converting the 4th and 9. This is a great thought exercise. [/QUOTE]
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Why punt? Ever.
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