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<blockquote data-quote="slugboy" data-source="post: 882012" data-attributes="member: 282"><p>Well, we've hashed this out a ton, but why not once more?</p><p></p><p>2018: CPJ's last year. New D-coordinator and system. Defense is statistically the worst of the CPJ era. Lose the bowl game. Most of the "offensive production" graduates (however, the QB kept the ball more often than not). Lots of defensive "production" also graduated.</p><p></p><p>2019: Collin's first season. Recruiting class was not terrible given a transition year. Defense improved but was not up to the average performance over the previous decade and wasn't good. It wasn't up to the Ted Roof defenses that got derided around here. Offensive numbers plummeted. </p><p>The expectation was that this would be a massive losing year--lost production off of offense, major change of scheme in all facets of the game, etc. </p><p>This was a "rip the band-aid off and have a bad year and be better in 2020" strategy, or it seemed like one. In some ways, it was still worse than expected (Citadel, for instance).</p><p></p><p>2020: Started out with a really good recruiting class. Top 25-ish. This is something to build off of. </p><p>COVID hits. Spring practice lost. Yes, COVID hits everyone, but this couldn't be worse timing for the Collins strategic plan. This doesn't mean that he was executing in an above-average fashion, but it was a sledgehammer to the knees of the long-term plan. </p><p>Collins spends a lot of focus on the offense--not his specialty, but he wants that to be a shiny bauble for the fans and for the program and for recruiting. Has a star QB and a star RB. </p><p>The season hits. In a season where teams dropped their hard game, we keep UCF. </p><p>We go 3-7. </p><p>The defense gets slightly better. The offense gets a lot better. They're still statistically awful. </p><p>We didn't have more injuries than most teams, but we had no depth, and it showed. </p><p>With the benefit of hindsight, 2018 and 2019 needed to be "get reps for your young players". That's hard to do when the offense goes 3-and-out, or close to it. It's also hard to do when you're banged up. </p><p>We need 4 or 5 linemen of the future to start gelling this year, and we kinda see 1 or 2. We haven't recruited the star LB to take the reins in the front 6 yet, or they're not seeing the field. </p><p>The strategic plan got derailed here and needed to get back on the rails in 2021.</p><p> li</p><p>2021: Hello NIL. Hello "coach's hot seat". Hello, "transfers are as important as high-school recruiting". A lot of the big changes to the college game are totally counter to the strategic plan, and Collins is also coaching for his life. We're plugging in transfers, some short term, as quick fixes. Some are injured and don't see playing time. </p><p>Collins stays focused on offense, defense actually declines, and you see players not listening to the coaches. In normal circumstances, this is a "sit the guys who aren't listening" event, but Collins is on the hot seat, so they stay in. </p><p>We win 3 games, but more importantly we don't see the foundations of a successful 2022 built as of yet. </p><p></p><p>2022: Massive coaching turnover. Some of the coaches look good. We lost some good coaches. We're playing the transfer market. We have about the same talent level as the last two seasons. Collins is coaching for his career (again). </p><p>If we were looking at this situation for NCST, South Carolina, FSU, Wake, or anybody else as fans of another team, we'd stay that this looks like a long shot at best. We're Tech fans, so we have more faith, but we're counting on the problems of past seasons being fixed. We haven't seen anything in practice, so it's blind hope.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="slugboy, post: 882012, member: 282"] Well, we've hashed this out a ton, but why not once more? 2018: CPJ's last year. New D-coordinator and system. Defense is statistically the worst of the CPJ era. Lose the bowl game. Most of the "offensive production" graduates (however, the QB kept the ball more often than not). Lots of defensive "production" also graduated. 2019: Collin's first season. Recruiting class was not terrible given a transition year. Defense improved but was not up to the average performance over the previous decade and wasn't good. It wasn't up to the Ted Roof defenses that got derided around here. Offensive numbers plummeted. The expectation was that this would be a massive losing year--lost production off of offense, major change of scheme in all facets of the game, etc. This was a "rip the band-aid off and have a bad year and be better in 2020" strategy, or it seemed like one. In some ways, it was still worse than expected (Citadel, for instance). 2020: Started out with a really good recruiting class. Top 25-ish. This is something to build off of. COVID hits. Spring practice lost. Yes, COVID hits everyone, but this couldn't be worse timing for the Collins strategic plan. This doesn't mean that he was executing in an above-average fashion, but it was a sledgehammer to the knees of the long-term plan. Collins spends a lot of focus on the offense--not his specialty, but he wants that to be a shiny bauble for the fans and for the program and for recruiting. Has a star QB and a star RB. The season hits. In a season where teams dropped their hard game, we keep UCF. We go 3-7. The defense gets slightly better. The offense gets a lot better. They're still statistically awful. We didn't have more injuries than most teams, but we had no depth, and it showed. With the benefit of hindsight, 2018 and 2019 needed to be "get reps for your young players". That's hard to do when the offense goes 3-and-out, or close to it. It's also hard to do when you're banged up. We need 4 or 5 linemen of the future to start gelling this year, and we kinda see 1 or 2. We haven't recruited the star LB to take the reins in the front 6 yet, or they're not seeing the field. The strategic plan got derailed here and needed to get back on the rails in 2021. li 2021: Hello NIL. Hello "coach's hot seat". Hello, "transfers are as important as high-school recruiting". A lot of the big changes to the college game are totally counter to the strategic plan, and Collins is also coaching for his life. We're plugging in transfers, some short term, as quick fixes. Some are injured and don't see playing time. Collins stays focused on offense, defense actually declines, and you see players not listening to the coaches. In normal circumstances, this is a "sit the guys who aren't listening" event, but Collins is on the hot seat, so they stay in. We win 3 games, but more importantly we don't see the foundations of a successful 2022 built as of yet. 2022: Massive coaching turnover. Some of the coaches look good. We lost some good coaches. We're playing the transfer market. We have about the same talent level as the last two seasons. Collins is coaching for his career (again). If we were looking at this situation for NCST, South Carolina, FSU, Wake, or anybody else as fans of another team, we'd stay that this looks like a long shot at best. We're Tech fans, so we have more faith, but we're counting on the problems of past seasons being fixed. We haven't seen anything in practice, so it's blind hope. [/QUOTE]
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