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When Should Hall Leave?
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<blockquote data-quote="GTNavyNuke" data-source="post: 425219" data-attributes="member: 322"><p>No problem. I think that many intentional sac bunts become base hits due to the placement of the bunt and the speed of the runner. So I think you are right if it is "known" that you are going to get an out and are only sacrificing. "The Book - Playing the Percentages in Baseball" spends 50 pages talking about the stats for when to bunt. The conclusion is that it is complex and not ironclad. Maybe the stats have changed. And it is fair to argue that "The Book" is based on pro ball and not college ball. In college ball, you don't have nearly the stats to base a decision on. </p><p></p><p>Here is one of the conclusions of "The Book": "<em>In an average run environment, almost any batter can bunt as long as he is a good bunter, or a fast runner, preferably both. A poor or slow bunter should rarely be allowed to sacrifice. This trumps our earlier recommendations, which applied to all bunters as a whole, good or bad, fast or slow.</em>" I think the reason is that a good bunter is about as likely to get on by bunting as hitting. The better the hitter, the more the defense should be playing back and less able to defend the bunt. It's all about maximizing the run expectancy of the at bat.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="GTNavyNuke, post: 425219, member: 322"] No problem. I think that many intentional sac bunts become base hits due to the placement of the bunt and the speed of the runner. So I think you are right if it is "known" that you are going to get an out and are only sacrificing. "The Book - Playing the Percentages in Baseball" spends 50 pages talking about the stats for when to bunt. The conclusion is that it is complex and not ironclad. Maybe the stats have changed. And it is fair to argue that "The Book" is based on pro ball and not college ball. In college ball, you don't have nearly the stats to base a decision on. Here is one of the conclusions of "The Book": "[I]In an average run environment, almost any batter can bunt as long as he is a good bunter, or a fast runner, preferably both. A poor or slow bunter should rarely be allowed to sacrifice. This trumps our earlier recommendations, which applied to all bunters as a whole, good or bad, fast or slow.[/I]" I think the reason is that a good bunter is about as likely to get on by bunting as hitting. The better the hitter, the more the defense should be playing back and less able to defend the bunt. It's all about maximizing the run expectancy of the at bat. [/QUOTE]
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