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What are your measures for success with the new defense?
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<blockquote data-quote="IEEEWreck" data-source="post: 448059" data-attributes="member: 617"><p>The real problem with averaging approaches to statistics is that football is a non-homogenous game and the number of games is too small for the law of large numbers. </p><p></p><p>However defensible the ranking of averages are, the relationship of the average with potential or change needed to improve isn't just nonlinear, it's also not ordinal. That's because unlike in baseball where strategic choices make relatively little difference, football outcomes are massively altered by strategy. In many ways, GTs problem has been being locked into a single strategy on D, and that strategy being relatively ineffective.</p><p></p><p>Maybe it's true that pure agressively play is better than pure bend but don't break play, but any pure strategy is a liability in a game with diverse opponents and time to adjust in between games. </p><p></p><p>So, my metric? Some ability to exert control over pace on D. That means something like 3.5 or fewer yd per play in bend style strategy and negative yardage or turnovers 25% of the time in agressive strategy.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="IEEEWreck, post: 448059, member: 617"] The real problem with averaging approaches to statistics is that football is a non-homogenous game and the number of games is too small for the law of large numbers. However defensible the ranking of averages are, the relationship of the average with potential or change needed to improve isn't just nonlinear, it's also not ordinal. That's because unlike in baseball where strategic choices make relatively little difference, football outcomes are massively altered by strategy. In many ways, GTs problem has been being locked into a single strategy on D, and that strategy being relatively ineffective. Maybe it's true that pure agressively play is better than pure bend but don't break play, but any pure strategy is a liability in a game with diverse opponents and time to adjust in between games. So, my metric? Some ability to exert control over pace on D. That means something like 3.5 or fewer yd per play in bend style strategy and negative yardage or turnovers 25% of the time in agressive strategy. [/QUOTE]
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What are your measures for success with the new defense?
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