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We're NCAAT Bound! (maybe)
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<blockquote data-quote="RonJohn" data-source="post: 741519" data-attributes="member: 2426"><p>Is it 353 or 350? I saw 353 in a news report, but wikipedia lists 350. I'll take a stab at 350.</p><p></p><p>1st round - 1 game 188 teams = 94 games</p><p>2nd round - 2 games 256 teams = 192 games</p><p>3rd round - 2 games 64 teams = 48 games</p><p>4th round - 2 games 16 teams = 12 games</p><p>5th round - 2 games 4 teams = 3 games</p><p>Total games = 349 games</p><p></p><p>Using straight probability and not accounting for seeding probabilities, that would be 1 in 1.15 X 10^105 or 1.15 quattuortrigintillion.</p><p>If you try to take into account probabilities involving higher seeded teams, that would drop. However, I don't know that any seeding would actually be done above 64 or maybe 128. How can you determine if a team is the 330th worst team or the 331st worst team. The first several rounds would probably be arranged more to geographic location than to any ranking. If there are 10 or so teams under probation who can't play, or if there are 353 teams, you would divide or multiply by several powers of two. However, with a number that large, it wouldn't make any real difference.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="RonJohn, post: 741519, member: 2426"] Is it 353 or 350? I saw 353 in a news report, but wikipedia lists 350. I'll take a stab at 350. 1st round - 1 game 188 teams = 94 games 2nd round - 2 games 256 teams = 192 games 3rd round - 2 games 64 teams = 48 games 4th round - 2 games 16 teams = 12 games 5th round - 2 games 4 teams = 3 games Total games = 349 games Using straight probability and not accounting for seeding probabilities, that would be 1 in 1.15 X 10^105 or 1.15 quattuortrigintillion. If you try to take into account probabilities involving higher seeded teams, that would drop. However, I don't know that any seeding would actually be done above 64 or maybe 128. How can you determine if a team is the 330th worst team or the 331st worst team. The first several rounds would probably be arranged more to geographic location than to any ranking. If there are 10 or so teams under probation who can't play, or if there are 353 teams, you would divide or multiply by several powers of two. However, with a number that large, it wouldn't make any real difference. [/QUOTE]
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