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Unexpected Recruiting Observation
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<blockquote data-quote="vamosjackets" data-source="post: 328863" data-attributes="member: 216"><p>That's not what I'm trying to do or say. I don't think recruiting rankings mean nothing to us. I think they mean a little less for our offense mainly because of the QB and OL and to a lesser degree AB position. They would be pretty much the same on WR and BB and the whole defense. And, I'm totally with you on viewing them as a probability of success. I also agree that in general if we had a higher recruiting average it would <em>likely </em>lead to higher win rate. </p><p></p><p>What I would say to nuance this to our particular situation is that it is unlikely that we can get to the recruiting rankings of factories (not saying we can't be better than we are). All I am saying is that while we are recruiting on the level that we are - mostly 3* with a few 4*'s mixed in - that the guys that we offer and get late (because of senior year evaluation) are more likely to be a hit than guys that we offer earlier in the process (based on younger performances). If we see them compete in camp, that may also be a higher hit rate, but I haven't tried to compile any data on that. I also admit that this is probably still too little data to be certain of the conclusion. It's just a conjecture at this point.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="vamosjackets, post: 328863, member: 216"] That's not what I'm trying to do or say. I don't think recruiting rankings mean nothing to us. I think they mean a little less for our offense mainly because of the QB and OL and to a lesser degree AB position. They would be pretty much the same on WR and BB and the whole defense. And, I'm totally with you on viewing them as a probability of success. I also agree that in general if we had a higher recruiting average it would [I]likely [/I]lead to higher win rate. What I would say to nuance this to our particular situation is that it is unlikely that we can get to the recruiting rankings of factories (not saying we can't be better than we are). All I am saying is that while we are recruiting on the level that we are - mostly 3* with a few 4*'s mixed in - that the guys that we offer and get late (because of senior year evaluation) are more likely to be a hit than guys that we offer earlier in the process (based on younger performances). If we see them compete in camp, that may also be a higher hit rate, but I haven't tried to compile any data on that. I also admit that this is probably still too little data to be certain of the conclusion. It's just a conjecture at this point. [/QUOTE]
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