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Unexpected Recruiting Observation
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<blockquote data-quote="lv20gt" data-source="post: 328674" data-attributes="member: 2299"><p>I really don't buy in to this "recruiting rankings mean nothing to us because of our offense". We still want largely the same thing from our running backs and WRs. At QB the skills we want are still highly valued by most schools. It may be that some want them for DB but they are still highly valued, and most of the dual threat QBs we'd love to have. OL is where the most difference is but even then what we want is still highly value at almost any place. A guy might be get a bump if he has a major weakness in pass blocking, but it's usually what negatives we can overlook that make the bigger difference rather than it being a whole set of different skills we're looking at. And the difference is often not nearly as big as people make it out to be.</p><p></p><p>It also goes back to people strawmanning against the star system. The star system isn't about declaring "can't miss" guys. It's something more akin to assigning probability of success. And it's true that the higher star recruits have a higher probability of making all american teams/making the NFL/making the pro-bowl, etc etc. It's just the sheer numbers of lower rated guys that make the raw numbers look misleading. </p><p></p><p>Also, does anyone think that if we went from 2.8 average stars, or whatever our average star rating is since Johnson has been here, to 3.8 over the next 10 year that we wouldn't see a higher average win rate? The next time we get a 4 star player is anyone going to post that star ratings don't matter? At the end of the day this boils down to us trying to hype our higher rated recruits while also claiming most of the lower rate ones are diamonds in the rough. Just like every fanbase.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="lv20gt, post: 328674, member: 2299"] I really don't buy in to this "recruiting rankings mean nothing to us because of our offense". We still want largely the same thing from our running backs and WRs. At QB the skills we want are still highly valued by most schools. It may be that some want them for DB but they are still highly valued, and most of the dual threat QBs we'd love to have. OL is where the most difference is but even then what we want is still highly value at almost any place. A guy might be get a bump if he has a major weakness in pass blocking, but it's usually what negatives we can overlook that make the bigger difference rather than it being a whole set of different skills we're looking at. And the difference is often not nearly as big as people make it out to be. It also goes back to people strawmanning against the star system. The star system isn't about declaring "can't miss" guys. It's something more akin to assigning probability of success. And it's true that the higher star recruits have a higher probability of making all american teams/making the NFL/making the pro-bowl, etc etc. It's just the sheer numbers of lower rated guys that make the raw numbers look misleading. Also, does anyone think that if we went from 2.8 average stars, or whatever our average star rating is since Johnson has been here, to 3.8 over the next 10 year that we wouldn't see a higher average win rate? The next time we get a 4 star player is anyone going to post that star ratings don't matter? At the end of the day this boils down to us trying to hype our higher rated recruits while also claiming most of the lower rate ones are diamonds in the rough. Just like every fanbase. [/QUOTE]
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