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UCF with a top 10 Defense
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<blockquote data-quote="Deleted member 2897" data-source="post: 318335"><p>UCF is definitely not a bad team. They are one of many teams that can beat us if we don't play well.</p><p></p><p>Having said that, I wouldn't read too much into these statistics, for a variety of reasons.</p><p></p><p>First, look at the FEI offensive rating (out of 128 teams) of some of UCF's opponents:</p><p>SC State: Unranked</p><p>UConn: #124</p><p>FIU: #118</p><p>Tulane: #112</p><p>Cincinnati: #109</p><p>Arkansas State: #87 (LOST)</p><p>Maryland: #65 (LOST)</p><p>East Carolina: #64</p><p>Houston: #52 (LOST)</p><p>Temple: #46 (LOST)</p><p>Tulsa: #16 (LOST)</p><p>Michigan: #11 (LOST)</p><p></p><p>Furthermore, the FEI efficiency ratings are (essentially) the value of each possession of their opponents adjusted for the strength of each offense faced. In other words, you could lose to everyone you play against all year, but as long as you hold the other team to lower points than they normally score per possession, your defense ends up looking like a rock star. When your offense (UCF) is ranked #107 out of #128, you're really wearing out your defense and putting pressure on them. There are other stats that make up defensive FEI as well, like what percentage of available yards you give up to your opponents on an average drive (ie if they start on their own 20, there are 80 yards available), what percentage of drives that end in a TD, that end in a TD or first down, that end in a turnover, etc.</p><p></p><p>I think generally, stats like this can be helpful, but you should always dig deeper. And look at that list - they essentially lost to anybody with a reasonable offense. I'm not sure FEI then offers much insight into UCF.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Deleted member 2897, post: 318335"] UCF is definitely not a bad team. They are one of many teams that can beat us if we don't play well. Having said that, I wouldn't read too much into these statistics, for a variety of reasons. First, look at the FEI offensive rating (out of 128 teams) of some of UCF's opponents: SC State: Unranked UConn: #124 FIU: #118 Tulane: #112 Cincinnati: #109 Arkansas State: #87 (LOST) Maryland: #65 (LOST) East Carolina: #64 Houston: #52 (LOST) Temple: #46 (LOST) Tulsa: #16 (LOST) Michigan: #11 (LOST) Furthermore, the FEI efficiency ratings are (essentially) the value of each possession of their opponents adjusted for the strength of each offense faced. In other words, you could lose to everyone you play against all year, but as long as you hold the other team to lower points than they normally score per possession, your defense ends up looking like a rock star. When your offense (UCF) is ranked #107 out of #128, you're really wearing out your defense and putting pressure on them. There are other stats that make up defensive FEI as well, like what percentage of available yards you give up to your opponents on an average drive (ie if they start on their own 20, there are 80 yards available), what percentage of drives that end in a TD, that end in a TD or first down, that end in a turnover, etc. I think generally, stats like this can be helpful, but you should always dig deeper. And look at that list - they essentially lost to anybody with a reasonable offense. I'm not sure FEI then offers much insight into UCF. [/QUOTE]
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