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Too Early Top 25 (week 6, after week 5)
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<blockquote data-quote="AE 87" data-source="post: 183298" data-attributes="member: 195"><p>Over the off-season, I convinced myself that differential points/drive (a team's offensive pts/drive vs pwr 5 minus their defense's pts/drive vs pwr 5 allowed) was a pretty good raw estimate of team strength. Obviously, it becomes more accurate after more games are played and the quality of competition becomes more representative.</p><p></p><p>For a season, I restrict the ranking to teams that have played more than 2 (3 or more) pwr 5 opponents. For this too early estimate, I restrict it to teams who have played more than 1 (2 or more). Since ND is not actually a member of a pwr 5 conference, games against them aren't counted. So, CU is not included because they've only played ND Lulzville and 2 cupcakes.</p><p></p><p>So, here's what we have:</p><p>[ATTACH=full]1227[/ATTACH]</p><p></p><p>I think it's a pretty interesting list. We've played #7, #8, and Duke who played #11 pretty close. Duke is ranked #30, and we're ranked #48 (of 90 teams who have played more than 1 pwr 5 opponent).</p><p></p><p>Again, it's too early, but Utah is currently ranked #5, with 7 votes for #1. All 25 are in the AP 25 except UNC, WV, Iowa St and Wash St. </p><p></p><p>The AP includes #6 CU (not enough pwr 5 games), #14 Ole Miss (#40 DiffPPD), #23 Cal (#27 DiffPPD), and #3 Baylor (not enough pwr 5 games).</p><p></p><p>So, it will be interesting (to me) moving forward whether this ranking becomes more predictive/accurate.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="AE 87, post: 183298, member: 195"] Over the off-season, I convinced myself that differential points/drive (a team's offensive pts/drive vs pwr 5 minus their defense's pts/drive vs pwr 5 allowed) was a pretty good raw estimate of team strength. Obviously, it becomes more accurate after more games are played and the quality of competition becomes more representative. For a season, I restrict the ranking to teams that have played more than 2 (3 or more) pwr 5 opponents. For this too early estimate, I restrict it to teams who have played more than 1 (2 or more). Since ND is not actually a member of a pwr 5 conference, games against them aren't counted. So, CU is not included because they've only played ND Lulzville and 2 cupcakes. So, here's what we have: [ATTACH=full]1227[/ATTACH] I think it's a pretty interesting list. We've played #7, #8, and Duke who played #11 pretty close. Duke is ranked #30, and we're ranked #48 (of 90 teams who have played more than 1 pwr 5 opponent). Again, it's too early, but Utah is currently ranked #5, with 7 votes for #1. All 25 are in the AP 25 except UNC, WV, Iowa St and Wash St. The AP includes #6 CU (not enough pwr 5 games), #14 Ole Miss (#40 DiffPPD), #23 Cal (#27 DiffPPD), and #3 Baylor (not enough pwr 5 games). So, it will be interesting (to me) moving forward whether this ranking becomes more predictive/accurate. [/QUOTE]
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Too Early Top 25 (week 6, after week 5)
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