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<blockquote data-quote="JacketOff" data-source="post: 887083" data-attributes="member: 4572"><p>I mean, last year Kelley Ford had UNC and Miami pegged as top 10 teams. Pitt and Wake Forest were #5 and #7 in the ACC respectively. Michigan, the B1G champ and CFP participant was projected to win less than 8 games and finish 6th in the B1G behind Indiana (who went 2-10). He didn’t even have Cincinnati projected to win 10 games, and they went undefeated and made it to the CFP. Oklahoma State and Baylor were projected 4th and 7th in the Bg 12 but they played each other for the title. </p><p></p><p>Sure, those projections <em>might </em>turn out right. But they’re <strong>heavily </strong>reliant on last year’s numbers. And there’s no way to project how a team might react to a new coaching staff, playbook, mindset, etc. </p><p></p><p>There are going to be a lot of teams who defy these projections, because he’s pretty much projecting win totals for last year’s teams based on this year’s schedules. No need to look at these figures and be disheartened by them, because odds are he’s wrong.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="JacketOff, post: 887083, member: 4572"] I mean, last year Kelley Ford had UNC and Miami pegged as top 10 teams. Pitt and Wake Forest were #5 and #7 in the ACC respectively. Michigan, the B1G champ and CFP participant was projected to win less than 8 games and finish 6th in the B1G behind Indiana (who went 2-10). He didn’t even have Cincinnati projected to win 10 games, and they went undefeated and made it to the CFP. Oklahoma State and Baylor were projected 4th and 7th in the Bg 12 but they played each other for the title. Sure, those projections [I]might [/I]turn out right. But they’re [B]heavily [/B]reliant on last year’s numbers. And there’s no way to project how a team might react to a new coaching staff, playbook, mindset, etc. There are going to be a lot of teams who defy these projections, because he’s pretty much projecting win totals for last year’s teams based on this year’s schedules. No need to look at these figures and be disheartened by them, because odds are he’s wrong. [/QUOTE]
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