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<blockquote data-quote="Deleted member 2897" data-source="post: 499038"><p>4-2, with 2 road losses where the final score was respectable.</p><p></p><p>Now its time to go on a run.</p><p>12/1 vs 6-0 St. John's. </p><p>St. John's has a +300 strength of schedule I think - a lot of close games. But beating a 6-0 team is beating a 6-0 team. This is as close to a must-win as we can get for a non-cupcake. It would do wonders for our confidence and be a solid P5 win.</p><p></p><p>12/9: vs Florida A&M</p><p>Must-win scheduled lower team.</p><p></p><p>12/17: vs Gardner-Webb.</p><p>Must-win scheduled lower team.</p><p></p><p>3 home wins could take us to 7-2. Then (along with St. John's) is when we find out if we have a possible 18-20 win team or not:</p><p></p><p>12/19: @Arkansas</p><p>#52 KenPom, road game. (Northwestern is #47 for reference.) . These are the games we MUST find a way to win that are close to coin tosses where the home team probably gets the pick.</p><p></p><p>12/22: vs. georgia</p><p>#122 KenPom. Again, another MUST win.</p><p></p><p>12/28: Kennesaw State</p><p>Must-win scheduled lower team.</p><p></p><p>1/2: USC Upstate</p><p>Must-win scheduled lower team.</p><p></p><p>Against St. Johns, Arkansas, and Georgia we go 2-1 and sweep the lower schools, that will put us at 10-3 entering ACC play. That would be a very interesting way to start conference play. 8-10 would put us at 18-13, which would probably be an NCAA bubble team.</p><p></p><p>Honestly, anything worse than 10-3 means losing 2 of 3 to St. Johns/Arkansas/Georgia which would be bad, or winning 2+ of those but losing to a really poor lower team...neither of which would be good outcomes.</p><p></p><p>These are beatable teams. I hope we can work our way through it.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Deleted member 2897, post: 499038"] 4-2, with 2 road losses where the final score was respectable. Now its time to go on a run. 12/1 vs 6-0 St. John's. St. John's has a +300 strength of schedule I think - a lot of close games. But beating a 6-0 team is beating a 6-0 team. This is as close to a must-win as we can get for a non-cupcake. It would do wonders for our confidence and be a solid P5 win. 12/9: vs Florida A&M Must-win scheduled lower team. 12/17: vs Gardner-Webb. Must-win scheduled lower team. 3 home wins could take us to 7-2. Then (along with St. John's) is when we find out if we have a possible 18-20 win team or not: 12/19: @Arkansas #52 KenPom, road game. (Northwestern is #47 for reference.) . These are the games we MUST find a way to win that are close to coin tosses where the home team probably gets the pick. 12/22: vs. georgia #122 KenPom. Again, another MUST win. 12/28: Kennesaw State Must-win scheduled lower team. 1/2: USC Upstate Must-win scheduled lower team. Against St. Johns, Arkansas, and Georgia we go 2-1 and sweep the lower schools, that will put us at 10-3 entering ACC play. That would be a very interesting way to start conference play. 8-10 would put us at 18-13, which would probably be an NCAA bubble team. Honestly, anything worse than 10-3 means losing 2 of 3 to St. Johns/Arkansas/Georgia which would be bad, or winning 2+ of those but losing to a really poor lower team...neither of which would be good outcomes. These are beatable teams. I hope we can work our way through it. [/QUOTE]
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