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The Empty Cupboard at UGA
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<blockquote data-quote="RonJohn" data-source="post: 251282" data-attributes="member: 2426"><p>I don't intend to imply that my opinion is the law and can't be wrong. I don't have a basement, so I am posting from my living room. I do understand that I am some poster on an internet site. I do not expect to have credibility with anyone else. But, by the same token, don't expect me to automatically adopt the statements of 24/7, or rivals, or scout. </p><p></p><p>I don't believe I am removing the "only external measure of talent", because I don't believe there is any accurate "external measure of talent". Those sites have been used as the "standard" of evaluating high school kids for many years. If someone can provide convincing evidence that they actually are accurate, I would review that evidence and potentially change my mind. I would however scrutinize the evidence greatly. My guess is that some large percentage(maybe 70-80) of the 4-5 stars will do well in college. My guess is that some smaller percentage(10-20) of the 3 stars will do well in college. However, my guess is if you look at the number of players who do well in college there will be 50% or higher 3 stars. If the numbers are far off of my guesses(95% of 4-5 stars are stars in college, and 85% of the top players were 4-5 stars), then I would have to reconsider.</p><p></p><p>Back to the previous discussion: I do not put faith in the ratings services. If that is the only evidence that the mutts have equivalent talent to Alabama, then I discount it. Whether anyone else agrees with me or not, it carries zero weight with me.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="RonJohn, post: 251282, member: 2426"] I don't intend to imply that my opinion is the law and can't be wrong. I don't have a basement, so I am posting from my living room. I do understand that I am some poster on an internet site. I do not expect to have credibility with anyone else. But, by the same token, don't expect me to automatically adopt the statements of 24/7, or rivals, or scout. I don't believe I am removing the "only external measure of talent", because I don't believe there is any accurate "external measure of talent". Those sites have been used as the "standard" of evaluating high school kids for many years. If someone can provide convincing evidence that they actually are accurate, I would review that evidence and potentially change my mind. I would however scrutinize the evidence greatly. My guess is that some large percentage(maybe 70-80) of the 4-5 stars will do well in college. My guess is that some smaller percentage(10-20) of the 3 stars will do well in college. However, my guess is if you look at the number of players who do well in college there will be 50% or higher 3 stars. If the numbers are far off of my guesses(95% of 4-5 stars are stars in college, and 85% of the top players were 4-5 stars), then I would have to reconsider. Back to the previous discussion: I do not put faith in the ratings services. If that is the only evidence that the mutts have equivalent talent to Alabama, then I discount it. Whether anyone else agrees with me or not, it carries zero weight with me. [/QUOTE]
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