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The ACC will delay the start of competition for all fall sports until at least Sept. 1
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<blockquote data-quote="RamblinRed" data-source="post: 726570" data-attributes="member: 1776"><p>Deaths is actually the last metric that should be used to make decisions since it is the one with the greatest lag so gives you the least accurate representation of what is happening.</p><p>in terms of metrics to use the main ones would be cases, positive case % and hospitalizations. Every one of those has a lag, but the lag on deaths can be up to 28 days. </p><p>Here is a good blog explaining the lag in deaths and why it is so hard to forecast - reported deaths lag from actual infection date by up to 4 weeks -so deaths that you see being recorded now are do to activity from the end of May/beginning of June. </p><p><a href="https://covidtracking.com/blog/why-changing-covid-19-demographics-in-the-us-make-death-trends-harder-to" target="_blank">https://covidtracking.com/blog/why-changing-covid-19-demographics-in-the-us-make-death-trends-harder-to</a></p><p></p><p>On a national level cases are skyrocketing, positive case percentages are trending up quickly (which shows that the increased case count are not primarily due to increased testing, but instead due to increased transmission) and hospitalizations are also up, at a smaller rate than cases, which would be expected</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="RamblinRed, post: 726570, member: 1776"] Deaths is actually the last metric that should be used to make decisions since it is the one with the greatest lag so gives you the least accurate representation of what is happening. in terms of metrics to use the main ones would be cases, positive case % and hospitalizations. Every one of those has a lag, but the lag on deaths can be up to 28 days. Here is a good blog explaining the lag in deaths and why it is so hard to forecast - reported deaths lag from actual infection date by up to 4 weeks -so deaths that you see being recorded now are do to activity from the end of May/beginning of June. [URL]https://covidtracking.com/blog/why-changing-covid-19-demographics-in-the-us-make-death-trends-harder-to[/URL] On a national level cases are skyrocketing, positive case percentages are trending up quickly (which shows that the increased case count are not primarily due to increased testing, but instead due to increased transmission) and hospitalizations are also up, at a smaller rate than cases, which would be expected [/QUOTE]
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The ACC will delay the start of competition for all fall sports until at least Sept. 1
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