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The ACC will delay the start of competition for all fall sports until at least Sept. 1
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<blockquote data-quote="RamblinRed" data-source="post: 711268" data-attributes="member: 1776"><p>Actually the death rate is significantly understated right now. First, we aren't even testing at anywhere near the level to capture all the deaths.</p><p>Second, look at the comparison to the flu.</p><p>All our death statistics for diseases are ultimately computed using computer models. flu death certificates avg less than 10,000 per year, but the estimates of deaths will range from 25-50K per year.</p><p>To give a simply comparison of how much more deadly this is.</p><p>As of Jan 20th, there had been 8,200 death certificates for the flu.</p><p>At the point they switched from confirmed deaths to probable deaths (which still greatly undercounts as it still only counts deaths at hospitals) there was already over 32K deaths from COVID19. So as of a week ago COVID19 had already killed 4X the number of people that the flu kills in a typical flu season using the one direct comparison method we have right now.</p><p></p><p>When they do the computer modeling 2 years from now to determine the official death estimate (that is how long it takes the CDC before it does a final death estimate for the Flu) you can basically guarantee it will be over 200K and it wouldn't shock me if it is closer to 3-400K.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="RamblinRed, post: 711268, member: 1776"] Actually the death rate is significantly understated right now. First, we aren't even testing at anywhere near the level to capture all the deaths. Second, look at the comparison to the flu. All our death statistics for diseases are ultimately computed using computer models. flu death certificates avg less than 10,000 per year, but the estimates of deaths will range from 25-50K per year. To give a simply comparison of how much more deadly this is. As of Jan 20th, there had been 8,200 death certificates for the flu. At the point they switched from confirmed deaths to probable deaths (which still greatly undercounts as it still only counts deaths at hospitals) there was already over 32K deaths from COVID19. So as of a week ago COVID19 had already killed 4X the number of people that the flu kills in a typical flu season using the one direct comparison method we have right now. When they do the computer modeling 2 years from now to determine the official death estimate (that is how long it takes the CDC before it does a final death estimate for the Flu) you can basically guarantee it will be over 200K and it wouldn't shock me if it is closer to 3-400K. [/QUOTE]
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The ACC will delay the start of competition for all fall sports until at least Sept. 1
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