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<blockquote data-quote="takethepoints" data-source="post: 342859" data-attributes="member: 265"><p>My favorite on this kind of thing: back in the 70's the US started a program in lower Kenya (the desert, iow) to help the Masai people down there do a better job raising cattle that could sell on international markets and provide them with more milk and meat (and blood; they like to mix milk and blood as a porridge) to eat. It worked! The herds got bigger and the steers were better quality.</p><p></p><p>Suddenly, the local game wardens noticed that more and more lions were dying of sickness. What could be happening?</p><p></p><p>Turns out that as a result of having bigger herds that needed bigger pastures, the Masai were buying and breeding more dogs. The dogs were exposing the lions to <em>canine</em> rabies and, since the lions had no native immunity, they were dropping like flies.</p><p></p><p>Now here's the question. Who in his right mind would have predicted before hand that lions (<em>felines</em>, I remind you) would be susceptible to canine rabies? Nobody, of course.</p><p></p><p>Ever since I read that I've had a healthy respect for the uncertainty that attends every attempt to make things better. I still support reforms whenever we have a decent idea of what the results will be, but I always take the predictions of good things to come with a grain of salt.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="takethepoints, post: 342859, member: 265"] My favorite on this kind of thing: back in the 70's the US started a program in lower Kenya (the desert, iow) to help the Masai people down there do a better job raising cattle that could sell on international markets and provide them with more milk and meat (and blood; they like to mix milk and blood as a porridge) to eat. It worked! The herds got bigger and the steers were better quality. Suddenly, the local game wardens noticed that more and more lions were dying of sickness. What could be happening? Turns out that as a result of having bigger herds that needed bigger pastures, the Masai were buying and breeding more dogs. The dogs were exposing the lions to [I]canine[/I] rabies and, since the lions had no native immunity, they were dropping like flies. Now here's the question. Who in his right mind would have predicted before hand that lions ([I]felines[/I], I remind you) would be susceptible to canine rabies? Nobody, of course. Ever since I read that I've had a healthy respect for the uncertainty that attends every attempt to make things better. I still support reforms whenever we have a decent idea of what the results will be, but I always take the predictions of good things to come with a grain of salt. [/QUOTE]
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