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<blockquote data-quote="takethepoints" data-source="post: 703932" data-attributes="member: 265"><p>See:</p><p></p><p><a href="https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/infectious-disease-experts-dont-know-how-bad-the-coronavirus-is-going-to-get-either/" target="_blank">https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/infectious-disease-experts-dont-know-how-bad-the-coronavirus-is-going-to-get-either/</a></p><p></p><p>Short <em>538</em>: nobody really knows how bad this is going to be; there isn't enough data yet. However, the consensus for deaths in the next year or so, until we get a vaccine is 200,000. And it could be as high as 1,000,000. If you think people would show up at a sporting event after even half of the median estimate of deaths, you are living in a fool's paradise. Short of a "miracle cure" - the last one of those was penicillin and that was for bateriological diseases - I think we had better get ready for no Tech football and, perhaps, no basketball either. Basketball would be even more dangerous then football, obviously.</p><p></p><p>The interesting thing about this is that large gatherings are probably less dangerous then going to a bar or restaurant. Problem = where do people go after a big sporting event? That would be to … yep.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="takethepoints, post: 703932, member: 265"] See: [URL]https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/infectious-disease-experts-dont-know-how-bad-the-coronavirus-is-going-to-get-either/[/URL] Short [I]538[/I]: nobody really knows how bad this is going to be; there isn't enough data yet. However, the consensus for deaths in the next year or so, until we get a vaccine is 200,000. And it could be as high as 1,000,000. If you think people would show up at a sporting event after even half of the median estimate of deaths, you are living in a fool's paradise. Short of a "miracle cure" - the last one of those was penicillin and that was for bateriological diseases - I think we had better get ready for no Tech football and, perhaps, no basketball either. Basketball would be even more dangerous then football, obviously. The interesting thing about this is that large gatherings are probably less dangerous then going to a bar or restaurant. Problem = where do people go after a big sporting event? That would be to … yep. [/QUOTE]
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