Simple, easy to understand playoff scenarios going into the night games

iggymcfly

Georgia Tech Fan
Messages
73
Alabama: In
Oregon: In
TCU: In

Then there are 5 teams competing for the 4th and final spot in the playoff.

-If Florida State wins, they're in.
-If Florida State loses and Ohio State wins, Ohio State is in.
-If Florida State and Ohio State lose and Baylor wins, Baylor is in.
-If Florida State, Ohio State, and Baylor all lose, it will be between Georgia Tech and Kansas State for the final spot.

Advantages for Kansas State
-Currently ranked #9 by the committee compared to #11 for Georgia Tech.
-Arguably has a tougher final game facing #6 on the road compared to facing #5 at a neutral site.

Advantages for Georgia Tech
-Would be outright ACC champions compared to K-State who would only be co-champions of the Big XII. Furthermore, K-State's co-championship would be diminished due to the fact that TCU beat them head-to-head, and finished with a better overall record including non-conference.
-A Georgia Tech selection allows 4 conferences to be represented in the playoff instead of 3.

It's impossible to know which way the committee would vote if it comes down to Georgia Tech against Kansas State. Overall, I'd say Georgia Tech probably has the edge, but it's a slight edge. If Kansas State wins decisively while Tech wins close, that's probably enough to give the edge to the Wildcats. In order to ensure a playoff spot, it's important that the Jackets beat Florida State as decisively as possible. My gut instinct says if Kansas State wins by 8 points more than GT, they get the final spot and if it's closer than that or Tech has the better margin, they get the spot, but the fine points of who has to win by how much are obviously all conjecture. All we really know is that K-State, Wisconsin, and Georgia Tech all have to win for us to have a chance.
 
Top