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Season to date: overperformance vs underperformance
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<blockquote data-quote="slugboy" data-source="post: 911441" data-attributes="member: 282"><p>If you'd like it from SP+, here you go. We overperformed by about a touchdown against UCF (but I think that was mostly UCF burning clock in the second half--that game and Ole Miss could have gone much worse). Generally, we underperformed under Collins by a touchdown or more. UVA and FSU were both bad games, but we did better than expected against Pitt, Duke, and UVA. As bad a rout as FSU was, UVA may have been a worse game--it's a game we should have won but lost by a TD. </p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p>[ATTACH=full]13474[/ATTACH]</p><p></p><p>A negative margin means "losing". At Clemson, SP+ expected us to lose by about 24-25 and we lost by 31. Against VT, we were projected to lose by 5.5 and we won by 1. </p><p></p><table style='width: 100%'><tr><th>Game</th><th>Actual Score</th><th>Actual margin</th><th>SP+ Projected Margin</th><th>Difference</th></tr><tr><td>Clem</td><td>L41-10</td><td>-31</td><td>-24.5</td><td>-6.5</td></tr><tr><td>WCU</td><td>W35-17</td><td>18</td><td>21.9</td><td>-3.9</td></tr><tr><td>Ole Miss</td><td>L42-0</td><td>-42</td><td>-27.5</td><td>-14.5</td></tr><tr><td>UCF</td><td>L27-10</td><td>-17</td><td>-22.4</td><td>5.4</td></tr><tr><td>Pitt</td><td>W26-21</td><td>5</td><td>-23.3</td><td>28.3</td></tr><tr><td>Duke</td><td>W23-20</td><td>3</td><td>-3.6</td><td>6.6</td></tr><tr><td>UVA</td><td>L16-9</td><td>-7</td><td>1.7</td><td>-8.7</td></tr><tr><td>FSU</td><td>L41-16</td><td>-25</td><td>-17.3</td><td>-7.7</td></tr><tr><td>VT</td><td>W28-27</td><td>1</td><td>-5.5</td><td>6.5</td></tr></table></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="slugboy, post: 911441, member: 282"] If you'd like it from SP+, here you go. We overperformed by about a touchdown against UCF (but I think that was mostly UCF burning clock in the second half--that game and Ole Miss could have gone much worse). Generally, we underperformed under Collins by a touchdown or more. UVA and FSU were both bad games, but we did better than expected against Pitt, Duke, and UVA. As bad a rout as FSU was, UVA may have been a worse game--it's a game we should have won but lost by a TD. [ATTACH type="full"]13474[/ATTACH] A negative margin means "losing". At Clemson, SP+ expected us to lose by about 24-25 and we lost by 31. Against VT, we were projected to lose by 5.5 and we won by 1. [TABLE] [TR] [TH]Game[/TH] [TH]Actual Score[/TH] [TH]Actual margin[/TH] [TH]SP+ Projected Margin[/TH] [TH]Difference[/TH] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Clem[/TD] [TD]L41-10[/TD] [TD]-31[/TD] [TD]-24.5[/TD] [TD]-6.5[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]WCU[/TD] [TD]W35-17[/TD] [TD]18[/TD] [TD]21.9[/TD] [TD]-3.9[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Ole Miss[/TD] [TD]L42-0[/TD] [TD]-42[/TD] [TD]-27.5[/TD] [TD]-14.5[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]UCF[/TD] [TD]L27-10[/TD] [TD]-17[/TD] [TD]-22.4[/TD] [TD]5.4[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Pitt[/TD] [TD]W26-21[/TD] [TD]5[/TD] [TD]-23.3[/TD] [TD]28.3[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Duke[/TD] [TD]W23-20[/TD] [TD]3[/TD] [TD]-3.6[/TD] [TD]6.6[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]UVA[/TD] [TD]L16-9[/TD] [TD]-7[/TD] [TD]1.7[/TD] [TD]-8.7[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]FSU[/TD] [TD]L41-16[/TD] [TD]-25[/TD] [TD]-17.3[/TD] [TD]-7.7[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]VT[/TD] [TD]W28-27[/TD] [TD]1[/TD] [TD]-5.5[/TD] [TD]6.5[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] [/QUOTE]
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Season to date: overperformance vs underperformance
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