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Red Shirt vs Playing as True Freshman
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<blockquote data-quote="lv20gt" data-source="post: 169911" data-attributes="member: 2299"><p>I'm sure there's a reason Laskey started and had 7.5 times more carries than Days through 7 games. It was a good reason too. It was Johnson thought Laskey was better. Coaches play the players they think are better. That reason wouldn't be any different even if Laskey actually was the better back. But, that doesn't mean they always play the better player. Of course, I know some people might think Johnson is literally god in his infallibility, but his, in fact, just a human. Like the rest of us, he's more than capable of errors in judgement. I wonder how long till someone says I'm running down our coach because I said he's just a human lol. </p><p></p><p>Anyways, if you want to argue that the reason you alluded to isn't because Johnson messed up then be my guest and try to explain it away. That being said, any reason given should somehow handle the difference in rushing attempts 120-16 in the first 7 games in favor of laskey, and somehow reconcile that in the drastic difference in production, both overall, and immediately following the change. The simple answer is that Johnson messed up in his evaluation of Days at Bback to start the year last year. The idea that the difference in production was better play by OL and QB, or even Days drastically improving, isn't consistent with the near instant improvement in production. There wasn't even a bye week to help that argument. </p><p></p><p>Also, if you can give one good reason to take away the 69 yard run, then your argument might hold water. To show the absurdity of that statement, look at Dwyer's 2008 year. 1395 yards on 200 carries. 6.975 ypc, 107.3 ypg. Let's take away his top 4 runs (roughly same % that you're taking away from Days). His "new" numbers? 196 carries, 1096 yards, 5.6 ypc. 84.3 ypg. How about 2009? 235 carries, 1395 yards, 5.94 ypc, 99.6 ypg. Take away his top 4 runs and new numbers are 1147 yards, 231 carries, 4.97 ypc, 82 ypg. Lets look at Chubb last year. 219 carries, 1547 yards. 7.1 avg. Take away his top 4 runs? 215 carries for 1262 yards, 5.87 ypc. Look at Melvin Gordon 7.5 ypc becomes 6.6 ypc. Tevin Coleman 7.5 becomes 6.45. Ezekiel Elliott 6.9 becomes 5.9. James Conner 5.9 becomes 5.2. etc etc etc. Amazing how much production of almost every back it seems drops significantly when you take away a handful of their top plays. </p><p></p><p>The truth is those handful of plays are what separates the great backs from the average backs. You can't take them away and act like it means anything. The outliers are the difference. That play happened. It wasn't a fluke. The blocking didn't part the red sea and have him go untouched 69 yards in a straight line. The blocking was very good, but Days turned a play that likely is a 15-20 yard "nice run" into a 69 yard TD by not going down when defenders got to him. Laskey has had several of those opportunities and didn't make it happen. Had he had two 50+ yard runs as a starter we wouldn't be having this discussion.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="lv20gt, post: 169911, member: 2299"] I'm sure there's a reason Laskey started and had 7.5 times more carries than Days through 7 games. It was a good reason too. It was Johnson thought Laskey was better. Coaches play the players they think are better. That reason wouldn't be any different even if Laskey actually was the better back. But, that doesn't mean they always play the better player. Of course, I know some people might think Johnson is literally god in his infallibility, but his, in fact, just a human. Like the rest of us, he's more than capable of errors in judgement. I wonder how long till someone says I'm running down our coach because I said he's just a human lol. Anyways, if you want to argue that the reason you alluded to isn't because Johnson messed up then be my guest and try to explain it away. That being said, any reason given should somehow handle the difference in rushing attempts 120-16 in the first 7 games in favor of laskey, and somehow reconcile that in the drastic difference in production, both overall, and immediately following the change. The simple answer is that Johnson messed up in his evaluation of Days at Bback to start the year last year. The idea that the difference in production was better play by OL and QB, or even Days drastically improving, isn't consistent with the near instant improvement in production. There wasn't even a bye week to help that argument. Also, if you can give one good reason to take away the 69 yard run, then your argument might hold water. To show the absurdity of that statement, look at Dwyer's 2008 year. 1395 yards on 200 carries. 6.975 ypc, 107.3 ypg. Let's take away his top 4 runs (roughly same % that you're taking away from Days). His "new" numbers? 196 carries, 1096 yards, 5.6 ypc. 84.3 ypg. How about 2009? 235 carries, 1395 yards, 5.94 ypc, 99.6 ypg. Take away his top 4 runs and new numbers are 1147 yards, 231 carries, 4.97 ypc, 82 ypg. Lets look at Chubb last year. 219 carries, 1547 yards. 7.1 avg. Take away his top 4 runs? 215 carries for 1262 yards, 5.87 ypc. Look at Melvin Gordon 7.5 ypc becomes 6.6 ypc. Tevin Coleman 7.5 becomes 6.45. Ezekiel Elliott 6.9 becomes 5.9. James Conner 5.9 becomes 5.2. etc etc etc. Amazing how much production of almost every back it seems drops significantly when you take away a handful of their top plays. The truth is those handful of plays are what separates the great backs from the average backs. You can't take them away and act like it means anything. The outliers are the difference. That play happened. It wasn't a fluke. The blocking didn't part the red sea and have him go untouched 69 yards in a straight line. The blocking was very good, but Days turned a play that likely is a 15-20 yard "nice run" into a 69 yard TD by not going down when defenders got to him. Laskey has had several of those opportunities and didn't make it happen. Had he had two 50+ yard runs as a starter we wouldn't be having this discussion. [/QUOTE]
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