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Record when scoring 30+ 25+, and 20+ points
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<blockquote data-quote="bke1984" data-source="post: 29959" data-attributes="member: 932"><p>So with everyone bashing our offense over the past two seasons (and not particularly on this board, but elsewhere), I decided to dig into our all-time record when we score 30+, 25+, and 20+ points in a game.</p><p></p><p><strong><u>30+ points</u></strong></p><p>290-15-1 all-time</p><p>37-6 under PJ</p><p>253-9-1 under all other coaches</p><p></p><p><strong><u>25+ points</u></strong></p><p>375-33-1 all-time</p><p>40-11 under PJ</p><p>335-22-1 under all other coaches</p><p></p><p><strong><u>20+ points</u></strong></p><p>496-75-3</p><p>46-15 under PJ</p><p>450-60-3 under all other coaches</p><p></p><p>The biggest one that jumps out to me here is the record when scoring 30+ points. We've only lost 15 games EVER where we've scored 30+. Three of them came in 2013 (ugag, Clemson, and Miami), two came in 2012 (Clemson and Miami), and one came in 2010 (ugag). So 40% of the time we’ve lost when scoring more than 30 have come under PJ. That is completely ridiculous. Before PJ, if we scored 30+ we’d win 96.5% of the time (pretty good chances). Now it’s 86%...we’ll lose almost 1 out of 7 in this scenario.</p><p></p><p>We need to improve on defense. If you score 30+, you are supposed to win…period, end of story. There’s going to be the occasional loss in this scenario, but not five times in two years.</p><p></p><p>I like what Roof has done in such a short time, but I think the only reason so many feel good about our defense this year is that we were a dumpster fire in 2012.</p><p></p><p>Now I’m sure some of the haters of the offense will come back and say things like:</p><ul> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">Offenses have improved in the last few years, so 30+ doesn't mean what it used to</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">Tech scores late in a lot of cases to get to 30+</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">The numbers are skewed by games where we score 40+, 50+, 60+, etc.</li> </ul><p>I'm not going to argue the first two points. It's very hard to find data to argue one way or the other on those bullets, and if you feel that way, there's no swaying you. But let’s look at the last point.</p><p></p><p>Now, let’s look at only the games where Tech has scored 30-39 points only.</p><p></p><p><strong><u>30-39 points</u></strong></p><p>151-14-1 all-time</p><p>17-6 under PJ</p><p>134-8-1 all other coaches</p><p></p><p>All other coaches at Tech lost 8 times in history when scoring 30-39 points. PJ’s teams have lost 6, and <strong>5 in the last two years</strong>. In two years we came up just three games short of the total times all other coaches in history lost when scoring 30-39 points. Prior to PJ, we’d win 94.4% of the games when scoring 30-39…now it’s 74%. We’ll lose 1 in 4 when scoring 30-40...</p><p></p><p>The last two seasons have really skewed the numbers, but that supports my point. We should not have to score 40 points to have such a good shot at victory! While they haven’t necessarily been coming up with big plays in critical situations, the offense is generally doing enough to win us football games. <strong><em>Defense has to improve.</em></strong></p><p><strong><em></em></strong></p><p>I, for one, am pretty confident that it will. Roof was never going to show up and flip the table in one season. I think year two will show some improvements, even with the loss of some critical players. Late in the year some of the younger guys stepped up and started making plays. Let's hope that this continues into 2014...</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="bke1984, post: 29959, member: 932"] So with everyone bashing our offense over the past two seasons (and not particularly on this board, but elsewhere), I decided to dig into our all-time record when we score 30+, 25+, and 20+ points in a game. [B][U]30+ points[/U][/B] 290-15-1 all-time 37-6 under PJ 253-9-1 under all other coaches [B][U]25+ points[/U][/B] 375-33-1 all-time 40-11 under PJ 335-22-1 under all other coaches [B][U]20+ points[/U][/B] 496-75-3 46-15 under PJ 450-60-3 under all other coaches The biggest one that jumps out to me here is the record when scoring 30+ points. We've only lost 15 games EVER where we've scored 30+. Three of them came in 2013 (ugag, Clemson, and Miami), two came in 2012 (Clemson and Miami), and one came in 2010 (ugag). So 40% of the time we’ve lost when scoring more than 30 have come under PJ. That is completely ridiculous. Before PJ, if we scored 30+ we’d win 96.5% of the time (pretty good chances). Now it’s 86%...we’ll lose almost 1 out of 7 in this scenario. We need to improve on defense. If you score 30+, you are supposed to win…period, end of story. There’s going to be the occasional loss in this scenario, but not five times in two years. I like what Roof has done in such a short time, but I think the only reason so many feel good about our defense this year is that we were a dumpster fire in 2012. Now I’m sure some of the haters of the offense will come back and say things like: [LIST] [*]Offenses have improved in the last few years, so 30+ doesn't mean what it used to [*]Tech scores late in a lot of cases to get to 30+ [*]The numbers are skewed by games where we score 40+, 50+, 60+, etc. [/LIST] I'm not going to argue the first two points. It's very hard to find data to argue one way or the other on those bullets, and if you feel that way, there's no swaying you. But let’s look at the last point. Now, let’s look at only the games where Tech has scored 30-39 points only. [B][U]30-39 points[/U][/B] 151-14-1 all-time 17-6 under PJ 134-8-1 all other coaches All other coaches at Tech lost 8 times in history when scoring 30-39 points. PJ’s teams have lost 6, and [B]5 in the last two years[/B]. In two years we came up just three games short of the total times all other coaches in history lost when scoring 30-39 points. Prior to PJ, we’d win 94.4% of the games when scoring 30-39…now it’s 74%. We’ll lose 1 in 4 when scoring 30-40... The last two seasons have really skewed the numbers, but that supports my point. We should not have to score 40 points to have such a good shot at victory! While they haven’t necessarily been coming up with big plays in critical situations, the offense is generally doing enough to win us football games. [B][I]Defense has to improve. [/I][/B] I, for one, am pretty confident that it will. Roof was never going to show up and flip the table in one season. I think year two will show some improvements, even with the loss of some critical players. Late in the year some of the younger guys stepped up and started making plays. Let's hope that this continues into 2014... [/QUOTE]
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