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<blockquote data-quote="JorgeJonas" data-source="post: 504023" data-attributes="member: 2171"><p>The issue I would take with this is that distribution and delta matter. So in the same way that Johnson and Gailey have similar winning percentages, Johnson is perceived as being more successful because he had big seasons. Similarly, averages are helpful, but I’d be curious to know how many four star players Johnson signed each year versus Gailey. I suspect Gailey would look more favorable there, because Johnson may have signed fewer two star players but also fewer four star players. It’s also important to understand what the difference between a two star and three star player is. For example, I bet the difference between a five star and four star is less than the difference between a three star and two star, and so it’s critical to hit on the four stars because there’s a bigger difference between them and the three star than there is between the three star and the two star.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="JorgeJonas, post: 504023, member: 2171"] The issue I would take with this is that distribution and delta matter. So in the same way that Johnson and Gailey have similar winning percentages, Johnson is perceived as being more successful because he had big seasons. Similarly, averages are helpful, but I’d be curious to know how many four star players Johnson signed each year versus Gailey. I suspect Gailey would look more favorable there, because Johnson may have signed fewer two star players but also fewer four star players. It’s also important to understand what the difference between a two star and three star player is. For example, I bet the difference between a five star and four star is less than the difference between a three star and two star, and so it’s critical to hit on the four stars because there’s a bigger difference between them and the three star than there is between the three star and the two star. [/QUOTE]
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