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Prominent Coaches' First Year Scares
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<blockquote data-quote="Cam" data-source="post: 629048" data-attributes="member: 568"><p>I know that the loss yesterday still stings, but I think it's worth looking at it from a different perspective. Below I'll list a couple coaches' first seasons with new teams and some notable games.</p><p></p><p>Nick Saban @ LSU (2000): <strong>Lost to UAB 10-13 on Homecoming</strong> - a Conference USA team that finished 7-4.</p><p>Nick Saban @ Alabama (2007): <strong>Lost to Louisiana-Monroe 14-21</strong> - a Sun Belt team that finished 6-6.</p><p>Kirby Smart (2016): <strong>Beat Nicholls State 26-24 in his first home game</strong> - an FCS team that finished 5-6.</p><p>Paul Johnson @ GT (2008): <strong>Beat Gardner-Webb 10-7</strong> - an FCS team that finished 5-6.</p><p></p><p>Let's look at one last one. Gary Patterson has had a pretty great career at TCU and is entering his 20th season. He has a 169-63 record overall, has seven 10+ win seasons finishing in the top 10 (3 in the last 5 seasons), and is known as one of the best defensive minds in college football. He went 6-6 in his first year after the team finished 10-1 the previous season under the old coach. That first season for Patterson included several bad losses, most notably one to FCS Northwestern State on Homecoming with a score of <strong>27-24 in OT</strong>. Sounds familiar.</p><p></p><p>The point is that these kinds of games happen everywhere in the first season and aren't indicative of the future success of a coach. You can argue "a win is a win" in Smart and Johnson's case, but that doesn't excuse the team performance in those games. I'm not saying that Collins will win a national championship in year 4 like Saban at LSU (or year 3 at Alabama), make the finals like Smart in year 2, or even win 9 games like Johnson. But transition years where we rank <a href="https://www.sbnation.com/college-football/2019/1/31/18204093/2019-ncaa-football-returning-starters-experience" target="_blank">119th in returning production</a> aren't always a recipe for success, even against Citadel. I just ask to try to keep faith like our current and former players (<a href="https://twitter.com/sdays10/status/1172971635894345729?s=20" target="_blank">Synjyn Days</a> and <a href="https://twitter.com/T_Braun78/status/1172972948807966722?s=20" target="_blank">Trey Braun</a>) who are closest to the program and believe things are headed the right way despite the loss. The coaches and players will learn from this loss and build on it. Just hope they're building quickly.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Cam, post: 629048, member: 568"] I know that the loss yesterday still stings, but I think it's worth looking at it from a different perspective. Below I'll list a couple coaches' first seasons with new teams and some notable games. Nick Saban @ LSU (2000): [B]Lost to UAB 10-13 on Homecoming[/B] - a Conference USA team that finished 7-4. Nick Saban @ Alabama (2007): [B]Lost to Louisiana-Monroe 14-21[/B] - a Sun Belt team that finished 6-6. Kirby Smart (2016): [B]Beat Nicholls State 26-24 in his first home game[/B] - an FCS team that finished 5-6. Paul Johnson @ GT (2008): [B]Beat Gardner-Webb 10-7[/B] - an FCS team that finished 5-6. Let's look at one last one. Gary Patterson has had a pretty great career at TCU and is entering his 20th season. He has a 169-63 record overall, has seven 10+ win seasons finishing in the top 10 (3 in the last 5 seasons), and is known as one of the best defensive minds in college football. He went 6-6 in his first year after the team finished 10-1 the previous season under the old coach. That first season for Patterson included several bad losses, most notably one to FCS Northwestern State on Homecoming with a score of [B]27-24 in OT[/B]. Sounds familiar. The point is that these kinds of games happen everywhere in the first season and aren't indicative of the future success of a coach. You can argue "a win is a win" in Smart and Johnson's case, but that doesn't excuse the team performance in those games. I'm not saying that Collins will win a national championship in year 4 like Saban at LSU (or year 3 at Alabama), make the finals like Smart in year 2, or even win 9 games like Johnson. But transition years where we rank [URL='https://www.sbnation.com/college-football/2019/1/31/18204093/2019-ncaa-football-returning-starters-experience']119th in returning production[/URL] aren't always a recipe for success, even against Citadel. I just ask to try to keep faith like our current and former players ([URL='https://twitter.com/sdays10/status/1172971635894345729?s=20']Synjyn Days[/URL] and [URL='https://twitter.com/T_Braun78/status/1172972948807966722?s=20']Trey Braun[/URL]) who are closest to the program and believe things are headed the right way despite the loss. The coaches and players will learn from this loss and build on it. Just hope they're building quickly. [/QUOTE]
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