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<blockquote data-quote="AE 87" data-source="post: 224973" data-attributes="member: 195"><p>Okay, so a couple of people have raised questions about our offensive scheme again in the last week or so. By this time, I'd have thought that nonsense would've been put to bed.</p><p></p><p>As I posted in another thread, our average offensive efficiency (points per drive vs pwr 5 or BCS AQ), has been #6 in the nation, for teams playing more than 2 pwr5 or BCS AQ teams a year, over the past 5 and 8 years:</p><p></p><p></p><p>Over that same time period, we've been #50 on average defensive efficiency (ppd allowed vs pwr 5 or bcs aq).</p><p></p><p>I went ahead and calculated a differential for the 5 yr averages (Offensive PPDvPwr5 minus Defensive PPDvPwr5). Here's a ranking of the top 25 programs by this metric:</p><p> [ATTACH=full]1575[/ATTACH]</p><p></p><p>While we might find a lot to complain about in terms of W-L, which is of course the stat that ultimately matters most, I think that we still have reason for optimism.</p><p></p><p>Greater success will still hinge, in my opinion, on making significant improvement in defensive efficiency. If we get a D ranked in the top 40 in DefPPDvPwr5, that would statistically result in a top 20 team most years, given our typical offensive efficiency. That means we'd have a puncher's chance in head to head games.</p><p></p><p>A top 30 D would get us into top 10 category, and that's with an average O for us. If we combine a top 30 D with a 2009, 2011, or 2014 Offense, we'd be in the statistical range of a top 5 team. That's how close we are.</p><p></p><p>We don't need a VPI D or the CU D from the last couple of years. We need a D like Pitt's from a few years ago or Duke's from 2013.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="AE 87, post: 224973, member: 195"] Okay, so a couple of people have raised questions about our offensive scheme again in the last week or so. By this time, I'd have thought that nonsense would've been put to bed. As I posted in another thread, our average offensive efficiency (points per drive vs pwr 5 or BCS AQ), has been #6 in the nation, for teams playing more than 2 pwr5 or BCS AQ teams a year, over the past 5 and 8 years: Over that same time period, we've been #50 on average defensive efficiency (ppd allowed vs pwr 5 or bcs aq). I went ahead and calculated a differential for the 5 yr averages (Offensive PPDvPwr5 minus Defensive PPDvPwr5). Here's a ranking of the top 25 programs by this metric: [ATTACH=full]1575[/ATTACH] While we might find a lot to complain about in terms of W-L, which is of course the stat that ultimately matters most, I think that we still have reason for optimism. Greater success will still hinge, in my opinion, on making significant improvement in defensive efficiency. If we get a D ranked in the top 40 in DefPPDvPwr5, that would statistically result in a top 20 team most years, given our typical offensive efficiency. That means we'd have a puncher's chance in head to head games. A top 30 D would get us into top 10 category, and that's with an average O for us. If we combine a top 30 D with a 2009, 2011, or 2014 Offense, we'd be in the statistical range of a top 5 team. That's how close we are. We don't need a VPI D or the CU D from the last couple of years. We need a D like Pitt's from a few years ago or Duke's from 2013. [/QUOTE]
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