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Points Per Drive vs Power 5 Rankings
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<blockquote data-quote="AE 87" data-source="post: 470939" data-attributes="member: 195"><p>Okay, just to review for those who haven't seen these before, I calculate a points/drive stat. </p><p></p><p>The number of drives are calculated as the sum of Rushing TDs, Passing TDs, FG atts, Punts, Failed 4th Downs, and Turnovers. So a half-ending or game-ending possession does not count as a drive, nor does a safety.</p><p></p><p>The number of points are calculated as 7 points for every rushing or passing TD and 3 pts for every made FG. So, defensive and special-teams run-back scores do not enter into the calculations.</p><p></p><p>I then calculate both an offensive and defensive points/drive versus power 5 opponents stat for teams who have played at least 3 pwr5 opponents. I then subtract the points allowed (defensive points/drive) from the points gained (offensive points/drive) to determine a differential points/drive.</p><p></p><p>Here are the differential points/drive rankings compared to the AP and Coaches Poll rankings (it should be noted that Wisc, UCF, USF, and Cinn are not ranked because they have not yet played enough Power 5 opponents):</p><p></p><p> [ATTACH=full]4267[/ATTACH]</p><p></p><p>I think this comparison makes a prima facie case for the meaningfulness of the stat. At least, I think, it supports this stat being part of the conversation regarding team rankings.</p><p></p><p>With this in mind, Georgia Tech is currently #29 in DiffPPDvPwr5. We are ranked #8 in Offensive PPDvPwr5 and #50 in Def PPDvPwr5. If our D keeps improving and our O solidifies, we should be a pretty formidable team.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="AE 87, post: 470939, member: 195"] Okay, just to review for those who haven't seen these before, I calculate a points/drive stat. The number of drives are calculated as the sum of Rushing TDs, Passing TDs, FG atts, Punts, Failed 4th Downs, and Turnovers. So a half-ending or game-ending possession does not count as a drive, nor does a safety. The number of points are calculated as 7 points for every rushing or passing TD and 3 pts for every made FG. So, defensive and special-teams run-back scores do not enter into the calculations. I then calculate both an offensive and defensive points/drive versus power 5 opponents stat for teams who have played at least 3 pwr5 opponents. I then subtract the points allowed (defensive points/drive) from the points gained (offensive points/drive) to determine a differential points/drive. Here are the differential points/drive rankings compared to the AP and Coaches Poll rankings (it should be noted that Wisc, UCF, USF, and Cinn are not ranked because they have not yet played enough Power 5 opponents): [ATTACH=full]4267[/ATTACH] I think this comparison makes a prima facie case for the meaningfulness of the stat. At least, I think, it supports this stat being part of the conversation regarding team rankings. With this in mind, Georgia Tech is currently #29 in DiffPPDvPwr5. We are ranked #8 in Offensive PPDvPwr5 and #50 in Def PPDvPwr5. If our D keeps improving and our O solidifies, we should be a pretty formidable team. [/QUOTE]
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