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Path to the Coastal
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<blockquote data-quote="Southpaw13" data-source="post: 356589" data-attributes="member: 1223"><p>On paper, GT is very much in the mix for the coastal race, only 1 loss out of 1st... but the path forward to actually winning the coastal is pretty crazy.</p><p></p><p>First, Miami has to have 2 losses in conference, since they have the H2H tie breaker on us. In other words, if we won out in ACC play and Miami only lost to, say, VT... we'd both be 7-1 and they would go to the ACCCG. So... that means to even entertain the conversation of playing for the ACCC, Miami must also lose a 2nd conference game. I doubt UNC can beat anyone... so that leaves it up to either Pitt or UVA to pull an upset. </p><p></p><p>If that upset occurred, and Miami lost to VT, Miami would be 6-2. One path at that point would be to win out (requiring wins over both VT at home and Clemson on the road.) Possible, but unlikely. The next scenario would require us to beat VT, so a Clemson loss could be allowed and maybe we can move forward.</p><p></p><p>If we beat VT and they win their remaining conference games, we would have a 3-way division tie at 6-2. </p><p></p><p>If you go to the tiebreaker rules, I'm not sure how it gets prioritized. We all would be 6-2, with Miami's losses both being division losses. I think that would eliminate them. That would leave us beating VT in a head to head.... but I'm really not sure if that's the way the tiebreakers get layered. We may actually get penalized for having a lower overall win% since we missed out on the UCF game.</p><p></p><p>If we could find a way to beat Clemson, that would go a LONG way to making the coastal seem feasible.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Southpaw13, post: 356589, member: 1223"] On paper, GT is very much in the mix for the coastal race, only 1 loss out of 1st... but the path forward to actually winning the coastal is pretty crazy. First, Miami has to have 2 losses in conference, since they have the H2H tie breaker on us. In other words, if we won out in ACC play and Miami only lost to, say, VT... we'd both be 7-1 and they would go to the ACCCG. So... that means to even entertain the conversation of playing for the ACCC, Miami must also lose a 2nd conference game. I doubt UNC can beat anyone... so that leaves it up to either Pitt or UVA to pull an upset. If that upset occurred, and Miami lost to VT, Miami would be 6-2. One path at that point would be to win out (requiring wins over both VT at home and Clemson on the road.) Possible, but unlikely. The next scenario would require us to beat VT, so a Clemson loss could be allowed and maybe we can move forward. If we beat VT and they win their remaining conference games, we would have a 3-way division tie at 6-2. If you go to the tiebreaker rules, I'm not sure how it gets prioritized. We all would be 6-2, with Miami's losses both being division losses. I think that would eliminate them. That would leave us beating VT in a head to head.... but I'm really not sure if that's the way the tiebreakers get layered. We may actually get penalized for having a lower overall win% since we missed out on the UCF game. If we could find a way to beat Clemson, that would go a LONG way to making the coastal seem feasible. [/QUOTE]
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