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<blockquote data-quote="takethepoints" data-source="post: 305489" data-attributes="member: 265"><p>I would add here that we need to be careful when we look at Tech's stats last year. Several fonts have brought up our games with Miami and Pitt. We lost both of those games due to sheer bum luck and nothing else. We played what was probably our best overall game last year against Miami (you can check; we led them in everything) and lost because JT fumbled the ball for scoop sixes on successive drives. That rivals the 2014 Pitt game in terms of luck only this time against us. The Pitt game was, if anything, even worse. We make a great defensive play on a pass down field and tip the ball into the hands of the Pitt TE, the one player who was behind the D. The ball was headed for their WR who was perfectly covered. Again, this is sheer bum luck (though we had some too). Or see our entire 2015 season: play it again with the team that showed up for the spring game and we probably win 8 - 9. Nobody could predict the flood of injuries that destroyed that team's prospects.</p><p></p><p>This is, I think, a problem with the small sample size in football seasons. Like Billy Beane says in <em>Moneyball</em>, "My <common vulgarism for excrement> will get you to the playoffs; what happens there is sheer luck." Too often in college football the results are due to luck, but the season is too short for that to even out. Or for the stats to reflect accurately.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="takethepoints, post: 305489, member: 265"] I would add here that we need to be careful when we look at Tech's stats last year. Several fonts have brought up our games with Miami and Pitt. We lost both of those games due to sheer bum luck and nothing else. We played what was probably our best overall game last year against Miami (you can check; we led them in everything) and lost because JT fumbled the ball for scoop sixes on successive drives. That rivals the 2014 Pitt game in terms of luck only this time against us. The Pitt game was, if anything, even worse. We make a great defensive play on a pass down field and tip the ball into the hands of the Pitt TE, the one player who was behind the D. The ball was headed for their WR who was perfectly covered. Again, this is sheer bum luck (though we had some too). Or see our entire 2015 season: play it again with the team that showed up for the spring game and we probably win 8 - 9. Nobody could predict the flood of injuries that destroyed that team's prospects. This is, I think, a problem with the small sample size in football seasons. Like Billy Beane says in [I]Moneyball[/I], "My <common vulgarism for excrement> will get you to the playoffs; what happens there is sheer luck." Too often in college football the results are due to luck, but the season is too short for that to even out. Or for the stats to reflect accurately. [/QUOTE]
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