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<blockquote data-quote="slugboy" data-source="post: 771760" data-attributes="member: 282"><p>We’ve played 8 games and are 5-3. UNC is 5-4.</p><p></p><p>Pomeroy I believe factors in preseason ratings through most of January (<a href="https://kenpom.com/blog/what-happens-to-preseason-ratings-when-its-not-preseason-anymore/" target="_blank">https://kenpom.com/blog/what-happens-to-preseason-ratings-when-its-not-preseason-anymore/</a>).</p><p></p><p>Those preseason ratings should hold us down for a while, and hold UNC up. UNC started at #23 (see <a href="https://www.sportingnews.com/us/amp/basketball/news/kenpom-college-basketball-rankings-midnight-election-night/sq3tn9h39bz81f20t433c5e6s" target="_blank">https://www.sportingnews.com/us/amp/basketball/news/kenpom-college-basketball-rankings-midnight-election-night/sq3tn9h39bz81f20t433c5e6s</a>)</p><p></p><p>If we were 8-0, we’d maybe be approach top 30 KenPom status about now, but we haven’t done enough to overcome the pre-baked seeding of his model. One game won’t do it</p><p></p><p>BTW, we’re #74. Ga State is 6-1 and #104. Mercer is 7-2 and #159. Drake is 11-0 and #77.</p><p>Kentucky is 1-6 and #52–they haven’t plunged near as far as they should have</p><p></p><p>TL;DR: this cake ain’t baked yet, it’s too early to do anything with this model, and he overdamped it for the first two months. Otherwise, you’d see a lot more mid majors in his top 10.</p><p></p><p>Being top 50 in February would be a good thing, but that’ll take work</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="slugboy, post: 771760, member: 282"] We’ve played 8 games and are 5-3. UNC is 5-4. Pomeroy I believe factors in preseason ratings through most of January ([URL]https://kenpom.com/blog/what-happens-to-preseason-ratings-when-its-not-preseason-anymore/[/URL]). Those preseason ratings should hold us down for a while, and hold UNC up. UNC started at #23 (see [URL]https://www.sportingnews.com/us/amp/basketball/news/kenpom-college-basketball-rankings-midnight-election-night/sq3tn9h39bz81f20t433c5e6s[/URL]) If we were 8-0, we’d maybe be approach top 30 KenPom status about now, but we haven’t done enough to overcome the pre-baked seeding of his model. One game won’t do it BTW, we’re #74. Ga State is 6-1 and #104. Mercer is 7-2 and #159. Drake is 11-0 and #77. Kentucky is 1-6 and #52–they haven’t plunged near as far as they should have TL;DR: this cake ain’t baked yet, it’s too early to do anything with this model, and he overdamped it for the first two months. Otherwise, you’d see a lot more mid majors in his top 10. Being top 50 in February would be a good thing, but that’ll take work [/QUOTE]
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