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More Pts/Drive v Pwr5 Fun
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<blockquote data-quote="AE 87" data-source="post: 167492" data-attributes="member: 195"><p>Now, my fascination with this statistic is that even though the offensive and defensive stats are statistically independent, they are of course not completely independent to the extent that they are based on actual game play.</p><p></p><p>For example, starting field position on offense and defense--which, of course, impacts the likelihood of scoring--depends on the performance of the other unit. So GT's O benefited at times from turnovers and suffered at times from the rarity of forced punts.</p><p></p><p>However, another benefit of an improved D would come from the potential way it changes opponent game plans. If we score and stop a couple of times, it will cause the opposition to become more predictable trying to score quickly.</p><p></p><p>In the past, I think our offense has forced opponents into playing more aggressively, but our D was up to the task. It will be interesting to see what happens.</p><p></p><p>Anyway, I think we have a really realistic shot at another season of Diff-PPD vPwr5 of greater than 1, and a pretty good shot at a Diff-PPD v Pwr5 of 1.5. That's a number that should put us into play-off range. </p><p></p><p>Obviously, we're playing some good teams this year, but optimism is not without some numbers to back it up.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="AE 87, post: 167492, member: 195"] Now, my fascination with this statistic is that even though the offensive and defensive stats are statistically independent, they are of course not completely independent to the extent that they are based on actual game play. For example, starting field position on offense and defense--which, of course, impacts the likelihood of scoring--depends on the performance of the other unit. So GT's O benefited at times from turnovers and suffered at times from the rarity of forced punts. However, another benefit of an improved D would come from the potential way it changes opponent game plans. If we score and stop a couple of times, it will cause the opposition to become more predictable trying to score quickly. In the past, I think our offense has forced opponents into playing more aggressively, but our D was up to the task. It will be interesting to see what happens. Anyway, I think we have a really realistic shot at another season of Diff-PPD vPwr5 of greater than 1, and a pretty good shot at a Diff-PPD v Pwr5 of 1.5. That's a number that should put us into play-off range. Obviously, we're playing some good teams this year, but optimism is not without some numbers to back it up. [/QUOTE]
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