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More Pts/Drive v Pwr5 Fun
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<blockquote data-quote="AE 87" data-source="post: 167490" data-attributes="member: 195"><p>What's Does this Statistic mean for GT?</p><p></p><p>The Diff-PPD v Pwr5 stat is actually a fairly decent indicator of performance. Over the last 5 years, almost every P5 team whose Diff-PPD v Pwr5 was greater than 1 has won 11+ games.</p><p></p><p>So, based on past performance and the return of JT and the OL, I feel pretty good about predicting an OffPPD vPwr5 of 3+ for GT. That means that if we can get a DefPPD vPwr5 of about 2, then this measure predicts that we should win 11+ games.</p><p></p><p>Now, here's where it gets more fun. When Roof was at Penn State in 2012, their DefPPD vPwr5 was 1.37. By comparison, it was 1.49 in 2011 and 2.21 in 2013.</p><p></p><p>Teams whose Diff-PPD vPwr5 were greater than 1.9 typically won the national championship. An exception being 2010 when the undefeated TCU was not invited to play. In 2014, the Diff-PPD vPwr5 for Ohio State and Oregon were 1.43 and 1.49 respectively (TCU was 3rd with 1.42).</p><p></p><p>So, GT's Offense will probably be about 3.1 ppd v Pwr5. If our D improves to a little above average, say 2.1 ppd vPwr5 allowed, then we'll have a differential of 1 -- meaning 11 wins could be expected. </p><p></p><p>By comparison, Duke's D was better than 2.1 ppd vP5 allowed for the last two years. They also improved from 3.00 ppd vs pwr5 allowed in 2012 to 2.06 in 2013. So a major jump in one year isn't impossible.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="AE 87, post: 167490, member: 195"] What's Does this Statistic mean for GT? The Diff-PPD v Pwr5 stat is actually a fairly decent indicator of performance. Over the last 5 years, almost every P5 team whose Diff-PPD v Pwr5 was greater than 1 has won 11+ games. So, based on past performance and the return of JT and the OL, I feel pretty good about predicting an OffPPD vPwr5 of 3+ for GT. That means that if we can get a DefPPD vPwr5 of about 2, then this measure predicts that we should win 11+ games. Now, here's where it gets more fun. When Roof was at Penn State in 2012, their DefPPD vPwr5 was 1.37. By comparison, it was 1.49 in 2011 and 2.21 in 2013. Teams whose Diff-PPD vPwr5 were greater than 1.9 typically won the national championship. An exception being 2010 when the undefeated TCU was not invited to play. In 2014, the Diff-PPD vPwr5 for Ohio State and Oregon were 1.43 and 1.49 respectively (TCU was 3rd with 1.42). So, GT's Offense will probably be about 3.1 ppd v Pwr5. If our D improves to a little above average, say 2.1 ppd vPwr5 allowed, then we'll have a differential of 1 -- meaning 11 wins could be expected. By comparison, Duke's D was better than 2.1 ppd vP5 allowed for the last two years. They also improved from 3.00 ppd vs pwr5 allowed in 2012 to 2.06 in 2013. So a major jump in one year isn't impossible. [/QUOTE]
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