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<blockquote data-quote="Squints" data-source="post: 926734" data-attributes="member: 822"><p>The market you're describing does not fit well at all with high school recruiting and the transfer portal. The players have all the leverage and it's more akin to free agency then what they were doing in Moneyball. If another team has a player with a skillset that is more valuable then the team realizes you can't just go and acquire that player. Best you can do is hope they decide to transfer and then you have to hope they decide to come to you over everyone else. The control organizations have over players before they hit FA as an asset that can be moved between teams was a major factor, if not the the major factor, in the ability to exploit the market inefficiencies the analytics found. That doesn't exist at the college level.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p>Beane focused on college players simply because they were too much money for too much risk. I didn't have to do with evaluation time. He eventually flipped on this as other teams realized the same thing and college players became more expensive in the draft. That whole conversation became moot when they added slot values to draft picks.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Squints, post: 926734, member: 822"] The market you're describing does not fit well at all with high school recruiting and the transfer portal. The players have all the leverage and it's more akin to free agency then what they were doing in Moneyball. If another team has a player with a skillset that is more valuable then the team realizes you can't just go and acquire that player. Best you can do is hope they decide to transfer and then you have to hope they decide to come to you over everyone else. The control organizations have over players before they hit FA as an asset that can be moved between teams was a major factor, if not the the major factor, in the ability to exploit the market inefficiencies the analytics found. That doesn't exist at the college level. Beane focused on college players simply because they were too much money for too much risk. I didn't have to do with evaluation time. He eventually flipped on this as other teams realized the same thing and college players became more expensive in the draft. That whole conversation became moot when they added slot values to draft picks. [/QUOTE]
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